NL25: Hafta fold bottom set here, right?

[filsteal]

Villain's an 11/6 uber-nit. Minbet/3bet here on this board almost has to be FD or set, doesn't it?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

UTG ($40.65)
MP ($13.40)
Hero ($58.40)
SB ($44)
BB ($39.35)

Preflop: Hero is Button with 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
<font color="#CC3333">UTG raises to $1</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Hero calls $1, SB calls $0.90, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>.

Flop: ($3.25) T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">SB bets $1</font>, UTG calls $1, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $5</font>, <font color="#CC3333">SB raises to $15.75</font>, UTG folds, Hero calls $10.75.

Turn: ($35.75) 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">SB bets $27.25 (All-In)</font>,


For some reason my brain's really not working right tonight.

[filsteal]

Actually, the better question is probably what to do on the flop after his 3bet.

[osiris]

if you think he's on a draw, why not shove flop?

[futuredoc85]

shove the flop and stack overpairs and overs+FD. on the turn you dont think he can have an overpair w/ a heart?

[filsteal]

You don't think he's RR'ing QQ+? Definitely KK+, at least.

And does an uber-nit really lead for 1/3 the pot, then 3bet with a marginal overpair here like JJ-QQ?

[Dr_Mabuse101]

No. Shove flop. Stack AA,KK almost every time. As played I can see me calling this turn though. Nits tend to overplay overpairs.

[whoisthedrizzle]

I shove the flop like it's my job.

[filsteal]

So everybody really thinks overpairs are a significant part of his range here, despite the fact that:

A) uber-nit
B) no PF 3bet OOP (with AA/KK)
C) goofball 1/3 pot lead-out into multiway pot

I don't mean to make a fool of myself by arguing with posters who are better than me. I'm just really surprised by this.

[T-Bone98]

Shove it on the flop

[Das Budrick]

I shove the flop like it's drizzle's job.