Value bet river, or check?

[tarcards]

5 players
Converter
he is 48/26/1.7 wtsd 41
hes a loser and not smart


Pre-flop: (5 players) Hero is Button with 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
2 folds, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises</font>, SB calls, BB folds.

Flop: 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (5SB, 2 players)
SB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets</font>, SB calls.

Turn: T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3.5BB, 2 players)
SB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets</font>, SB calls.

River: A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (5.5BB, 2 players)
SB checks, Hero...?

[veganmav]

and how close is it

[Zele]

Well, if he has an A it's likely he would have bet it. If he has anything else that beats you probably would have heard about it earlier. OTOH, I don't think you're getting called with much that you beat, either. Plus there is the small chance of getting pushed off the best hand with a river CR. Meh, I check.

[bugstud]

sn?

I probably bet but it's really thin. change the A to any other paint card and it's much easier.

[veganmav]

I think the question boils down to 2 things.
Will he call with K high? How likely is an 8 with a better kicker?

[rubbrband]

I check. I don't really think either way is that bad but if he raises me with aces up I am gonna feel stupid.

[wackjob]

i think its close here, maybe with a good read you would know what way to play. i think valuetown will definately get calls from weaker 1 pair hands, as well as you getting smoked by better 1 pair hands.

[Dane S]

I almost always answer bet in threads like this but this one I think I'd check.

[Victor]

id check unless i knew villain was appallingly loose passive and straightforward.

[Dane S]

Me too. Some fear of a bluff raise is one of the main factors that pushes it to a check to me.