200NL: valuebet?

setjes · #1 10-01-2006, 05:43 AM

Villain is an aggro TAG, 26/19/4.5

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

BB ($152.94)
UTG ($531.88)
MP ($283.75)
CO ($194)
Hero ($216.05)
SB ($307.65)

Preflop: Hero is Button with Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $1.
UTG raises to $8, 2 folds, Hero raises to $24, 2 folds, UTG calls $16.

Flop: ($51) T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $40, UTG calls $40.

Turn: ($131) 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero checks.

River: ($131) 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero...

I think this guy bets a lot of hands he has me beat with (he might also c/r them though, dno), but I can't see him call with a lot of worse hands here.

Rkoo · #2 10-01-2006, 06:51 AM

I think you have to bet here. I would bet something like $65 or $75.

effinA · #3 10-01-2006, 07:58 AM

whats ur image at the table
if he had a big hand i think he raise the flop and i mighta bet the turn for a free showdown maybe, unless u improve on river...

as played i think u should bet 60ish.......

True · #4 10-01-2006, 08:27 AM

you shoulda bet the turn here...

True

mikechops · #5 10-01-2006, 08:29 AM

I think you have this hand, but I don;t think you are missing much value by checking.

Spartan1983 · #6 10-01-2006, 09:25 AM

Why not bet the turn? Bet the river.

oyvindgee · #7 10-01-2006, 09:32 AM

Bet river. Your hand is somewhat overrepped by the turn though, unless you reraise very wide preflop so I don't hate the turn check.

Precise919 · #8 10-01-2006, 09:51 AM

i don't think it's a real easy value bet- but i would still bet 60-70 here probably since he checked river OOP.
The only made hands hero is likely ahead of is KQs or QJs.. flush draws and KJ wont pay anything.

This is an interesting hand though.

wslee00 · #9 10-01-2006, 12:20 PM

you gotta check turn to induce a call/bet by weaker hand on the river and also for pot control. Only better hands are calling the turn bet.

i think it's very slight +EV to bet the river, so I'd bet 1/2 pot.

orange · #10 10-01-2006, 12:47 PM

[ QUOTE ]
you shoulda bet the turn here...

True

[/ QUOTE ]
I don't mind the check. What hands do you think an aggro TAG calls our bet with in a rr-ed pot? JJ is about the only hand I think we can gain value from.