2/4 Folding the flopped nut flush..and knowing it's probably right

[gir]

Villain is 54/20/2.8 over 50 hands. He's not very aggressive and I've never seen him pull this line.

Party Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $2/$4 Blinds - 5 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter)

SB: $518.50
Hero (BB): $1,413.45
UTG: $394.00
CO: $272.45
BTN: $1,477.88

Preflop: Hero is dealt J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (5 Players)
3 folds, <font color="red">SB raises to $8.00</font>, Hero calls $4.00

Flop: ($16) Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">SB bets $15.00</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $60.00</font>, SB calls $45.00

Turn: ($136) Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">SB bets $134.00</font>, Hero calls $134.00

River: ($404) K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">SB bets all-in for $316.50</font>, Hero folds

Pot Size: $720.50

[ipokeder]

hmm

i think you made a good fold, however if the river was a 2s i'd call

[fitnessfreak]

i call. lower flush, Qx, AK etc are all possible here. your sample size on him is very small so its unlikely you will be able to know much about his style. all i would take from the stats is that hes likely to be an aggro donk.

[DrMagic]

Oh good god no no no no no.
EDIT: For clarity this is a snapcall

[cbboy]

AF of 2.8 is pretty high for a player with a VPIP of 54...

[The Velour Fog]

i liked your line until you folded the river [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

[AP81]

Yeah an AF of 2.8 for somebody playing half their hands is super high, but its a small sample.

I would never ever fold here, btw. I think it's a really bad fold to be honest. Nut flush in a blind battle against a [censored] moron who could pretty easily value bet worse or just make a completely retarded bluff.

I mean, wtf you think he would pot the turn like that with a boat? Let alone not reraise the flop with two pair or a set? If he bet/calls this flop with KQ his range instantly widens up tremendously considering he can't have the Kh or Qh. You're getting over 2-1, like I said it's a blind battle, blah blah instacall this.

[ipokeder]

actually i also changed my mind

[JEFF or DAD]

noooooooooooooooooo

[Irish Mafia]

[ QUOTE ]
AF of 2.8 is pretty high for a player with a VPIP of 54...

[/ QUOTE ]

Its over 50 hands for christ sake. These numbers are almost completely irrelevent. I'd probably just bump it up on the turn.

As played i'd call the river.