Party 22 speed : Flopped set on connected board

[Longy]

Villan is multitabler running something like 12/8 through 60 hands, i have not played him before today, he seems solidish for a party player.

Comments on all pre flop and flop play welcome. Shove or fold, (I don't think calling is an option).

Party Poker
No Limit Holdem Tournament
Blinds: t30/t60
9 players
Converter

Pre-flop: (9 players) Hero is BB with T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
4 folds, MP3 calls t60 <font color="aaaaaa">(pot was t90)</font>, 2 folds, SB calls t30 <font color="aaaaaa">(pot was t150)</font>, Hero checks.

Flop: J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (t180, 3 players)
<font color="#cc0000">SB bets t180</font>, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to t540</font>, MP3 folds, <font color="#cc0000">SB raises to t900</font>, <font color="#cc0000">Hero ????

[ymu]

Stack sizes?

AK/K9/T9/QQ/JJ are beating you. Only K9/T9 are really likely from preflop action, unless he's very averse to raising out of the blinds. 2 pair or a pair plus a straight draw seems more likely - although he might be more likely to push these (how deep are you?).

If he's ahead you have 7+10 outs (~35% equity) or just the one, if he's behind he only has 4-8 outs and you have redraws against the straight outs.

I think he's behind a lot more than he's ahead and there's a lot in that pot.

Push.



Edited to correct hand ranges.

[Longy]

Whoops here is the hand again with stack sizes.

Party Poker
No Limit Holdem Tournament
Blinds: t30/t60
9 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: t5280
UTG+1: t2120
MP1: t2250
MP2: t1940
MP3: t1940
CO: t1990
Button: t720
SB: t1780
Hero: t1980

Pre-flop: (9 players) Hero is BB with T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
4 folds, MP3 calls t60 <font color="aaaaaa">(pot was t90)</font>, 2 folds, SB calls t30 <font color="aaaaaa">(pot was t150)</font>, Hero checks.

Flop: J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (t180, 3 players)
<font color="#cc0000">SB bets t180</font>, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to t540</font>, MP3 folds, <font color="#cc0000">SB raises to t900</font>, <font color="#cc0000">Hero ????

[PokahGirl]

get it all in here.

[ymu]

[ QUOTE ]

UTG: t5280
UTG+1: t2120
MP1: t2250
MP2: t1940
MP3: t1940
CO: t1990
Button: t720
SB: t1780
Hero: t1980


[/ QUOTE ]

Thanks.

I'd be more nervous if it wasn't a minraise - he's least likely to push the hands that have you beat already - but the minraise just says idiot who can't be bothered to think about pot size and just hits the "raise" button.

Either way, there's enough in the pot to make a push OK even against a made straight, and that's only a tiny part of his range.

[EscapePlan9]

Raise a bit more on that flop, it's way too coordinated. Meh, I don't like the bet and then small 3-bet line. Pray you're against two-pair, even though there's a decent chance you're against a straight. With half your stack in there, I think you gotta felt this one.

[Longy]

Hmmm i pushed but im still not sure what i expected to show that i beat apart from qj.

He insta called and flipped over k9o for the flopped straight. I managed to river quads ftw.

[mondonman]

I agree the small raise is a bit intimidating but this being a $22 you will be shown hands like KQ, KJ, QJ and even Q9 a fair share of the time. Gotta get it in.

I raise this pf.