EZ fold?

[David1234]

Villian is 18/6 over about 600 hands

Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $1/$2
6 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $195.50
Hero: $200
CO: $302.70
Button: $229.25
SB: $247.90
BB: $173.75

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is UTG+1 with J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
<font color="#cc0000">UTG raises to $7</font>, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $24</font>, 4 folds, UTG calls.

Flop: 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($51, 2 players)
UTG checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $34</font>, UTG calls.

Turn: 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($119, 2 players)
UTG checks, Hero checks.

River: 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ($119, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">UTG bets $119</font>, Hero

[Jay Riall]

Folding looks good readless.

[bruin]

yah, EZ fold

[Kilillan]

that would be a really bad call without a special read actually

[ajmargarine]

easy peasy baby. fold it.

At least you didn't bet the turn...like my peabrain wants to do in these spots.

[ElPhoenix]

What do you put him on to fold here? I'm not disagreeing with the fold, but with a board like 6d4d37d8 and someone raising ~6% of their hands, this UTG raise and call has to be pretty strong. I think we can rule out any kind of straight, 55 or 9T just don't make sense for this opponent.

I still think you should fold, QQ+ is definitely possible if not likely, as well as AKdd, but outside of that I really don't see what he could have. If I had to guess his exact hand I'd put him on AKdd with the way he played the hand, although the pot bet on the river is a little strange with the flush.

Is this analysis correct, or am I missing out on something?

phoenix.