Typical Swings at 50NL?

[AlexB182]

I managed a 8 BI downswing at NL50 the day before yesterday in like 450 hands. This game can be sick. Obviously I started playing NL100 again like two hours later to chase losses and for some reasons really made some of the money back...

[Sounded Simple]

Alex, thats a bankroll leak in the long term.

When Im on a downswing I like to -
- Move Down
- Study HH and PT in search of leaks.

I just hate the tought of ever going busto (even though my "roll" doesnt mean much to me in financial terms).

[Johnes Benjamin]

20k breakeven is pretty standard, but that doesn't mean you should just call it running bad if it happens. There is always something you can be doing better

[AlexB182]

Hey SoundedSimple, it's good hear that you don't want me to screw up by BR but in fact I'm rolled for NL100 and played it regularly before moving to FT. I just did not move up "full time" so far cause I think NL50 at FT is very easy to beat and I wanted to make some more moneys first...
You're completely right though, moving up to chase losses is pretty dangerous.
Thanks again though for you caring, I really appreciate that.

[TheBad]

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most i've felt is 5 BU downswing at 25nl

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Yesterday i had KK vs. AA pf twice, Set vs. flush and Set vs. Set on NL 25. In less than 1500 hands. 6-8 Buyins will definitely happen often enough.

[Sounded Simple]

[ QUOTE ]
Hey SoundedSimple, it's good hear that you don't want me to screw up by BR but in fact I'm rolled for NL100 and played it regularly before moving to FT. I just did not move up "full time" so far cause I think NL50 at FT is very easy to beat and I wanted to make some more moneys first...
You're completely right though, moving up to chase losses is pretty dangerous.
Thanks again though for you caring, I really appreciate that.

[/ QUOTE ]

Thanks Alex.
I really hope FT is soft since Im moving there as soon as I get my new PC running.

Fair point that your already a NL100 winner, just pointing out that this would be bad for anyone without the same experience as yourself.

[Sounded Simple]

To OP -
Variance is sick, if you like equations you can read "Mathematics of Poker", you can work out variance in terms of standard deviation.

The thing is not to be too concerned. If you lose a few buyins move down (repeat this step as nessasary).

More importantly
- Read forums, post hands, do the maths, reveiw HHs.
Repeat as nessasary and variance will take care of itself.

[Chargers In 07]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
most i've felt is 5 BU downswing at 25nl

[/ QUOTE ]

Yesterday i had KK vs. AA pf twice, Set vs. flush and Set vs. Set on NL 25. In less than 1500 hands. 6-8 Buyins will definitely happen often enough.

[/ QUOTE ]I've never had a downswing of more than 5.5 at the $50 in ~165k hands. But see my location.

[Split Suit]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
most i've felt is 5 BU downswing at 25nl

[/ QUOTE ]

Yesterday i had KK vs. AA pf twice, Set vs. flush and Set vs. Set on NL 25. In less than 1500 hands. 6-8 Buyins will definitely happen often enough.

[/ QUOTE ]I've never had a downswing of more than 5.5 at the $50 in ~165k hands. But see my location.

[/ QUOTE ]

ehh....still a small sample size

also, i think ur "lucky" in that ur variance doesnt all come crashing down at once. thats how mine, and quite a few ppls, happen

[Chargers In 07]

I think I'm lucky to. Every hand that goes by I wonder how really lucky though.