$10/20 3bethand vs LAG

DanielDayLewis · #1 11-30-2007, 05:42 AM

Villain in "Thank_u_sir". Intelligent 28/21 LAG. We've been 3betting eachother a lot and calling light. He steals like every chance he gets and I 3bet him tons but he keeps [censored] stealing...

Can I get any value on the river? How do you like my line overall?

Party Poker, $10/$20 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 5 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

UTG: $2,138
CO: $3,255.55
Hero (BTN): $3,048
SB: $470.15
BB: $2,379

Pre-Flop: A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BTN)
UTG folds, CO raises to $66, Hero raises to $220, 2 folds, CO calls $154

Flop: ($470) 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
CO checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($470) 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
CO bets $333, Hero calls $333

River: ($1,136) 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
CO checks, Hero checks

Praetor · #2 11-30-2007, 07:16 AM

no value, nh

lkjhgfdsa · #3 11-30-2007, 07:50 AM

nh

ike · #4 11-30-2007, 10:43 AM

check and win, the only possible reason to bet would be if he was so batshit you wanted to call a raise. when he check/calls you will win much less than half the time.

innerpeace · #5 11-30-2007, 07:13 PM

the only reason to bet the river would be to induce a bluff check raise. but i would only make this play if i had a good read on my opponent. otherwise, checking behind is ok.

Pasterbator · #6 11-30-2007, 07:23 PM

how can he c/r bluff if you dont bet?!!?!?!

...but you're going to check behind and win.

DanielDayLewis · #7 12-01-2007, 01:23 AM

yeah, thinking about that induce a bluff idea. Assuming he never flat calls (with better or worse) he has to be bluffing >50% of the time for it to be +EV.

MatthewRyan · #8 12-01-2007, 01:31 AM

[ QUOTE ]
the only reason to bet the river would be to induce a bluff check raise. but i would only make this play if i had a good read on my opponent. otherwise, checking behind is ok.

[/ QUOTE ]

ryanaw · #9 12-01-2007, 09:44 AM

checkcheck

ike · #10 12-01-2007, 10:34 AM

[ QUOTE ]
yeah, thinking about that induce a bluff idea. Assuming he never flat calls (with better or worse) he has to be bluffing >50% of the time for it to be +EV.

[/ QUOTE ]

but he does sometimes flat call with better, and never with worse, so he actually has to be bluffing like 75% of the time he raises and raise a pretty significant amount of the time. in other words, don't actually bet.