NL 200 AA, facing CRAI on a dry flop

[legacybegins]

No real read. Villain was playing 27/3/.5 over 55 hands. Your line?

Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $1/$2 Blinds - 9 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter)

SB: $142.20
BB: $197.65
UTG: $94.70
UTG+1: $198.00
MP1: $195.00
MP2: $178.60
Hero (MP3): $173.15
CO: $74.40
BTN: $266.00

Preflop: Hero is dealt A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (9 Players)
2 folds, MP1 calls $2.00, MP2 calls $2.00, <font color="red">Hero raises to $11.00</font>, 4 folds, MP1 calls $9.00, MP2 calls $9.00

Flop: ($36) 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (3 Players)
MP1 checks, MP2 checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $26.00</font>, MP1 folds, <font color="red">MP2 raises all-in to $167.60</font>, Hero ???

[GrandMelon]

call with fist pump

[BT2]

call. i expect to lose this sometimes, but win it the majority of the time. i would not fist pump like GM, but because he is not full, and only has 55 hands tells me that he is prolly some tournament donkey who thinks top pair is the nutz.

[Damntra]

[ QUOTE ]
call. i expect to lose this sometimes, but win it the majority of the time. i would not fist pump like GM, but because he is not full, and only has 55 hands tells me that he is prolly some tournament donkey who thinks top pair is the nutz.

[/ QUOTE ]

In other words, "lol donkaments!"

I call, too. You'll pay off sets sometimes but it comes with the territory.

[Split Suit]

other than reloading pf and gettin my CB a lil bigger (~$30), i call for same reasons given.

[legacybegins]

he had JJ which was bizarre to me. 22 makes more sense I'd think? but anyway yea I instacalled.

[MadScientist]

With a AF of 0.5!, I think this is a clear fold.
You need him to do this move with QT or AK a reasonable amount of the time and I can't see how such a passive player would do this with those hands very often.
Since the board is rainbow and there are no combo draws out there, I say this is a fold.
If a few combos of AK or QT were in his range, then this would be a call getting about 3:2.

[AlexB182]

[ QUOTE ]
With a AF of 0.5!, I think this is a clear fold

[/ QUOTE ]

0.5 over only 55 hands. That sample is pretty useless IMO...

[DTD]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
With a AF of 0.5!, I think this is a clear fold

[/ QUOTE ]

0.5 over only 55 hands. That sample is pretty useless IMO...

[/ QUOTE ]

True, you need a lot of hands to have much confidence in the agression factor, but the point is his stats were 27/3/0.5. When was the last time you had stats like that 55 hands into a session? It is not meaningless data when looking at how likely someone is to check raise a marginal weak hand, especially after PF. It's def a fold.

[Chargers In 07]

meh it seems like a fold to me to but the only hands that make sense that beat us are 22 and KJ. What else plays like this though? Nothing.