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  #1  
Old 10-31-2007, 04:16 AM
xeanatic xeanatic is offline
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Location: NL100
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Default NL100 small overpair on drawy flop

I am real confused what to do in these spots.

Villian is a solid regular running at 25/22/6 over 40 hands
He squeezed me 1 time but nothing out of line really.


Poker Stars, $0.50/$1 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 5 Players
LegoPoker Hand History Converter

BB: $142.30
UTG: $173.90
Hero (CO): $100
BTN: $105.40
SB: $138.65

Pre-Flop: T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (CO)
UTG folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $4</font>, BTN calls $4, SB calls $3.50, BB folds

Flop: ($13) 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (3 Players)
SB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $11</font>, BTN folds, <font color="red">SB raises to $31</font>, Hero ?
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  #2  
Old 10-31-2007, 05:22 AM
MoP_86 MoP_86 is offline
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Default Re: NL100 small overpair on drawy flop

Lets take a look at his range.

I believe that 99,JJ+ are 3-betted by this villain nearly 100% of the time preflop so we don't have to worry about those hands.

I also don't doubt that he's 3-betting 66 a portion of time.

So the only hand we are really worried about is 33...

I'd say what we are most likely up against is some sort of combo draw so I like a shove here.
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  #3  
Old 10-31-2007, 06:29 AM
Scaramouche Scaramouche is offline
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Default Re: NL100 small overpair on drawy flop

40 hands is a very small sample. How can you tell he's a solid regular?
We don't have a clue about his 3-betting range so we can't assume he'll 3 bet 66. I put him on a set or a combo draw like 45s/78s/8Ts/QJs and I fold.
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  #4  
Old 10-31-2007, 06:44 AM
DanJ. DanJ. is offline
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Default Re: NL100 small overpair on drawy flop

If you shove and he calls (lots of hands he calls with here) you have like 20% - 25% equity.
You cant call because there are so many bad turns for you.
So i would just muck it.
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  #5  
Old 10-31-2007, 07:16 AM
balzak520 balzak520 is offline
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Default Re: NL100 small overpair on drawy flop

Are you guys folding red JJ-AA here as well?

I'm thinking about calling and shoving any non-spade safe card. If you guys muck them too often here, a better player will pick up on it and pound away at you on boards like these. Oof, tough spot.
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  #6  
Old 10-31-2007, 07:33 AM
Scaramouche Scaramouche is offline
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Default Re: NL100 small overpair on drawy flop

[ QUOTE ]
Are you guys folding red JJ-AA here as well?

I'm thinking about calling and shoving any non-spade safe card. If you guys muck them too often here, a better player will pick up on it and pound away at you on boards like these. Oof, tough spot.

[/ QUOTE ]

I fold JJ also. QQ-AA probably call and CRAI some turns and C/F others (like a spade, an 8, a 7....)
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  #7  
Old 10-31-2007, 07:42 AM
balzak520 balzak520 is offline
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Default Re: NL100 small overpair on drawy flop

[ QUOTE ]
I fold JJ also. QQ-AA probably call and CRAI some turns and C/F others (like a spade, an 8, a 7....)

[/ QUOTE ]

Why? What's his range when C/R`ing here that you would call with red QQ-AA but not TT and JJ?
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  #8  
Old 10-31-2007, 07:48 AM
Scaramouche Scaramouche is offline
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Default Re: NL100 small overpair on drawy flop

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I fold JJ also. QQ-AA probably call and CRAI some turns and C/F others (like a spade, an 8, a 7....)

[/ QUOTE ]

Why? What's his range when C/R`ing here that you would call with red QQ-AA but not TT and JJ?

[/ QUOTE ]

FD and overcards like QJs,OTs, KQs, KTs, AJs,ATs
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  #9  
Old 10-31-2007, 07:55 AM
Daddy Warbucks Daddy Warbucks is offline
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Default Re: NL100 small overpair on drawy flop

Are you guys serious? The guy has a 6 AF, and you're thinking about mucking to a check raise on this board? You have position, call and see what he does on the turn.
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  #10  
Old 10-31-2007, 08:17 AM
Scaramouche Scaramouche is offline
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Default Re: NL100 small overpair on drawy flop

[ QUOTE ]
Are you guys serious? The guy has a 6 AF, and you're thinking about mucking to a check raise on this board? You have position, call and see what he does on the turn.

[/ QUOTE ]
I didn't realize he's in the blinds. I thought he's OTB.
Anyway because his AF I think he'll fire on too many turns.
What's your plan if a card like A-9,8,7,spade hits?
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