#21
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Re: ahnuld loses his biggest pot, live
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] if blinds were .25 .50, would you still want to run it twice? [/ QUOTE ] HE SAID HE WANTED TO REDUCE VARIANCE IN A HUGE POT IE HAVE A VERY SLIM CHANCE OF GETTING OUT OF THE POT WITH 0$ WOULD .25/.50 NL BE A HUGE POT? [/ QUOTE ] WELL WHAT IF THEY WERE 15000 bb DEEP? |
#22
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Re: ahnuld loses his biggest pot, live
EV calculation of running it twice ftw..
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#23
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Re: ahnuld loses his biggest pot, live
Villain had 6 outs
You have 2 That means that the average outs for the turn is 4. Times this by 2 because the river is still to come. That's 8 outs. B/c 8 outs is more than your outs, running it twice isn't a good idea. |
#24
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Re: ahnuld loses his biggest pot, live
[ QUOTE ]
EV calculation of running it twice ftw.. [/ QUOTE ] uh, almost exactly the same as running it once except two more cards are exposed? |
#25
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Re: ahnuld loses his biggest pot, live
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] EV calculation of running it twice ftw.. [/ QUOTE ] uh, almost exactly the same as running it once except two more cards are exposed? [/ QUOTE ]but it's random which two cards are exposed so it's equal ev to run it twice. |
#26
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Re: ahnuld loses his biggest pot, live
[ QUOTE ]
EV calculation of running it twice ftw.. [/ QUOTE ] Holdem Hi: 990 enumerated boards containing Ts 7s 8d cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV Ad Ah 710 71.72 272 27.47 8 0.81 0.721 Js Jh 272 27.47 710 71.72 8 0.81 0.279 Holdem Hi: 1980 enumerated boards containing Ts 7s 8d cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV Ad Ah 1420 71.72 272 27.47 16 0.81 0.721 Js Jh 544 27.47 710 71.72 16 0.81 0.279 |
#27
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Re: ahnuld loses his biggest pot, live
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] EV calculation of running it twice ftw.. [/ QUOTE ] uh, almost exactly the same as running it once except two more cards are exposed? [/ QUOTE ]but it's random which two cards are exposed so it's equal ev to run it twice. [/ QUOTE ] It can't be equal EV because the results of the first run effects the outcome of the second run. |
#28
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Re: ahnuld loses his biggest pot, live
i wouldn't run this twice unless my life, balls, or something of that nature was part of the pot
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#29
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Re: ahnuld loses his biggest pot, live
[ QUOTE ]
i wouldn't run this twice unless my life, balls, or something of that nature was part of the pot [/ QUOTE ] Exactly. |
#30
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Re: ahnuld loses his biggest pot, live
Who is FWF?
If its villain who exposed his top set then asked hell yeah your running it twice. If its not villain, i REALLY doubt he will want to run it twice anyway so its accademic because: a, no way you didnt react when he showed his hand b, he is sure he is ahead anyway c, i dunno who he is, but this one pot, whilst quite sizable, is not that much if he does lose it - that or he is in the wrong game |
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