What are the odds?

BIG NIGE · #1 09-20-2007, 02:56 AM

...of someone with an expected 15% ROI in 1-table SNGs to go on a streak of 15 games with a 135% ROI? That's what I did, profiting $444 in 15 $22 1-table SNGs. Unfortunately I haven't played thousands of games like some people so I don't know how often this happens to typical players. I don't know what my expected ROI is because I haven't played enough games, but I'm assuming 15% as a best case scenario because only the top players have 20% or better.

sippin_criss · #2 09-20-2007, 03:13 AM

1/6

IFoldPktOnes · #3 09-20-2007, 05:18 AM

It's higher than this:
1 - 0.995^(N/15), N = # games played

Insty · #4 09-20-2007, 06:34 AM

IBMTBBVMGHMOYS.

(in before move to brags, beats and variance, may god have mercy on your soul)