AQ unimproved HU OOP - how far to go?

[00Snitch]

[ QUOTE ]

Same situation exists on the turn, except that there's now a bunch more hands (Tx, with the exception of QT) that you're happy to draw against


[/ QUOTE ]

a) What Tx hands does he raise the flop with?
b) Against anything he holds, we have an absolute maximum of 6 outs meaning we need about 6.5:1 to call. We are getting just under that. Add in the chance of reverse domination and that we might be drawing dead, and I think our weighted outs are definatly less than 6.

Put a couple more bets in the pot, and I could see a call being closer.

[knockonwood]

River is an easy fold. On the turn, as mentioned, we don't have the odds to draw to our over cards. We need 7:1 and that is assuming we have 6 clean outs, when in reality they are hardly ever clean. In a vacuum, folding is the right decision, but if this was someone you were playing against 3 times a week, you would have to mix up your play in these spots every now and then to avoid being exploited.

[bozlax]

You're right about Tx hands, unless he's a nutbag. otoh, the only hand we're really worried about reverse-dom is acey-deucey.

Edit: you're also discounting 100% the chance that he's on a draw of some sort.

[00Snitch]

[ QUOTE ]

you're also discounting 100% the chance that he's on a draw of some sort


[/ QUOTE ]

I just think there arn't that many (1?) draws that raise the flop?

[neurotiq]

I'd fold on the turn [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]