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#1
11-19-2007, 04:12 PM
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$100nl: I squeeze with KK, flop brings an ace
Villain is 23/10/2 over ~130 hands. We haven't had a lot of history postflop. I had been fairly active on this table, showing a lot of PF aggression.
How is my line? If I cbet here he will fold basically anything I beat, but by checking to him he might take a stab at the pot. Is this fine? Or do I c/f or b/f here? Party Poker, $0.50/$1 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter CO: $208.31 BTN: $99.50 Hero (SB): $112.77 BB: $135.29 UTG: $143.10 MP: $188.72 Pre-Flop: K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (SB) UTG calls $1, MP calls $1, <font color="red">CO raises to $6</font>, BTN calls $6, <font color="red">Hero raises to $24</font>, 4 folds, BTN calls $18 Flop: ($57) A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players) Hero checks, <font color="red">BTN bets $45</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $88.77 and is All-In</font> 
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#2
11-19-2007, 04:15 PM
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Re: $100nl: I squeeze with KK, flop brings an ace
I'm not sure there's much a 23/10 will call a RR PF with, the bet that strongly when an A flops, then will call your push with an inferior hand. He has to think you have an A or a pair (assuming you won't RR to 24BB with KQ or worse), so unless he's got crap and is trying to push you off KK-TT, I'm not sure what you beat here.
Or I could be thinking way to rationally about this.
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#5
11-19-2007, 04:30 PM
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Re: $100nl: I squeeze with KK, flop brings an ace
[ QUOTE ]
So, are you putting him on exactly AQ or AK ? [/ QUOTE ] Your pot odds assuming you get all in are 132.5:75.5, you need to win > 36% of the time. I think you find AA, AK, or AQ over QQ, JJ, or TT more than 64% of the time here, as long as he doesn't think you're 3-betting light and trying to push QQ-TT for value. Unfortunately b/f here is not an option with the pot odds, so I say you either c/f to a strong bet, or value bet and call if necessary. At least then he puts some money in with QQ, JJ, etc.
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#7
11-20-2007, 03:40 AM
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Re: $100nl: I squeeze with KK, flop brings an ace
[ QUOTE ]
I think check/shove is fine, I think villain can have 66 - TT here. [/ QUOTE ] What does the shove accomplish? He'll call with an ace and fold everything we beat.
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#8
11-20-2007, 04:17 AM
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Re: $100nl: I squeeze with KK, flop brings an ace
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] So, are you putting him on exactly AQ or AK ? [/ QUOTE ] I think you find AA, AK, or AQ over QQ, JJ, or TT more than 64% of the time here, as long as he doesn't think you're 3-betting light and trying to push QQ-TT for value. [/ QUOTE ] AA 3 combos AK 6 combos AQ 12 combos QQ-TT 18 combos 39 total combos, 21 of which have us beat, which is 53%. the question is, how often is he betting QQ-TT when we check to him
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#9
11-20-2007, 04:19 AM
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Re: $100nl: I squeeze with KK, flop brings an ace
he only has like $30 after he bets when checked to on the flop, more than likely if he bets he's not folding for $30 more...and if he does, oh well, we got like 2/3 of his stack
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#10
11-20-2007, 04:25 AM
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Re: $100nl: I squeeze with KK, flop brings an ace
[ QUOTE ]
he only has like $30 after he bets when checked to on the flop, more than likely if he bets he's not folding for $30 more...and if he does, oh well, we got like 2/3 of his stack [/ QUOTE ] Oops, missed villains stacksize. I don't mind it with that little left.
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