NL200 floped nuts vs huge aggressor

[capodu]

guy is 16/10/11 over 300 hands and attempts to steal is %40
is river a check fold or are you felting?

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

saw flop|<font color="#C00000">saw showdown</font>

<font color="#C00000">CO ($205.75)</font>
Button ($194.75)
<font color="#C00000">Hero ($193.65)</font>
BB ($296.80)
UTG ($268.35)
UTG+1 ($184.15)
MP1 ($44.75)
MP2 ($213.55)
MP3 ($46.80)

Preflop: Hero is SB with T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. Hero posts a blind of $1.
<font color="#666666">5 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">CO raises to $7</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Hero (poster) calls $6, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>.

Flop: ($16) 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">CO bets $13</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $30</font>, CO calls $17.

Turn: ($76) 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $45</font>, CO calls $45.

River: ($166) 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>

[GiantBuddha]

Is inducing a bluff an option? If he's that aggressive I think he may be betting more hands (busted flush draws, straight draws) than he's calling with here. The only hands he [i]might[/] consider checking that you are ahead of are 9x or the smaller straight. But there's a good chance he bets those.

[CalledDownLight]

[ QUOTE ]
guy is 16/10/11 over 300 hands and attempts to steal is %40
is river a check fold or are you felting?

[/ QUOTE ]

11 AF + PartyPoker = Never folding this

IMO, a CRAI is the best play. I think he's betting all kinds of [censored] on this river and will call raises with sucker straights 9x and overpairs given the odds he will be given if he bets. Also, he will bluff missed draws here like always with this aggression factor. Another bet isn't bad either, but I think it obviously has to be an AI as thats only like 70% of a pot bet and anything else is just weird.

[Cry Me A River]

Is it just me, or is the flop checkraise a bit small? He's getting about 3.5:1 on the call...

[capodu]

[ QUOTE ]
Is it just me, or is the flop raise a bit small? He's getting about 3.5:1 on the call...

[/ QUOTE ]

ment to make it $40 but I pushed the wrong key

[GiantBuddha]

[ QUOTE ]
Is it just me, or is the flop raise a bit small? He's getting about 3.5:1 on the call...

[/ QUOTE ]

It's almost a minraise. Sort of one of those "re-raise me, I dare you" types of raises. Sometimes it works, sometimes it doesn't. I'd prefer a bigger flop raise with the flush draw out there, myself.

[Cry Me A River]

Ah, okay, anyway, the point of your post... If he flopped a set, do you really think he'd play it that slow on the flop? I'd expect him to jam rather than just call the checkraise. So I think you're good here most of the time.

That being said, I'm notorious paying off LAGs...

[Mr_Donktastic]

[ QUOTE ]
is river a check fold or are you felting?


[/ QUOTE ]

Arrrrr in.

[capodu]

I guess everyone is on the same page... that is what I was thinking too but I have just been running like complete [censored]

[GiantBuddha]

So he had 97? That sucks.