100NL: Turned TPTK in 3bet Pot v. Reg

[SluggishJ82]

Villain in this hand is a reg that I think I've played a decent amount with. I have him at 22/19/3.5 over a couple thousand hands. Button caller is a huge fish and is the reason I'm trying to isoraise here.

I'll simply check the flop and give up sometimes but I figured a bet would probably fold the better A high's so meh. Anyways, his flat on the flop seems pretty strange as I'd expect him to probably just shove KK/AA type hands as it's less than a psr at this point. Turn getting checked through seems pretty weird also. What's your line here on the river?

Full Tilt Poker, $0.50/$1 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LegoPoker Hand History Converter

UTG: $150.65
MP: $190.70
CO: $253.15
BTN: $94.50
SB: $95
Hero (BB): $103.50

Pre-Flop: A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BB)
UTG folds, <font color="red">MP raises to $3.50</font>, CO folds, BTN calls $3.50, SB folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $16</font>, MP calls $12.50, BTN folds

Flop: ($36) 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $21</font>, MP calls $21

Turn: ($78) J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, MP checks

River: ($78) 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">MP bets $153.70 and is All-In</font>

[pineapple888]

Read-dependent. Hope that helps. [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]

[spivey]

He's not repping much. 99 or a stupidly played JT, T9, 44. I'd spite call him.

[loosbastard]

So let me get this straight. He called flop. Then checked turn behind only to over-bet bluff shove river? If he was floating why not just bet turn? It's more believable. Also once you check turn/river, he probably thinks his 77/88 has some showdown value...so why would he turn it into a bluff now? This seems like a ridiculously easy fold to me against any relatively sane opponent.

[loosbastard]

[ QUOTE ]
Villain in this hand is a reg that I think I've played a decent amount with. I have him at 22/19/3.5 over a couple thousand hands. Button caller is a huge fish and is the reason I'm trying to isoraise here.

[/ QUOTE ]

You've played w/ him a decent amount, yet you don't have any other reads than 22/19? And if button is a huge fish...why are you blowing him out of the pot by 3-balling?

[pineapple888]

[ QUOTE ]
So let me get this straight. He called flop. Then checked turn behind only to over-bet bluff shove river? If he was floating why not just bet turn? It's more believable. Also once you check turn/river, he probably thinks his 77/88 has some showdown value...so why would he turn it into a bluff now? This seems like a ridiculously easy fold to me against any relatively sane opponent.

[/ QUOTE ]

Plenty of regs wait until the river to bluff for exactly this reason.

[theplux]

i play 99 the same lolz!

[ofishstix]

it's not an overbet. hets betting ~66. id call this all day.

[loosbastard]

[ QUOTE ]

Plenty of regs wait until the river to bluff for exactly this reason.

[/ QUOTE ]

Well if there are arguments for snapping him off because his line doesn't make any sense...wouldn't that make this a pretty terrible line to bluff w/?

And I still don't see what he's calling this flop w/ to turn into a bluff after we check turn/river. Our hand looks exactly like AK/AQ. He probably has (and knows he has) showdown value against us.

[loosbastard]

[ QUOTE ]
it's not an overbet. hets betting ~66. id call this all day.

[/ QUOTE ]

Oops, I'm such a reading comprehension donk. Still don't think it changes much though.