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#1
04-15-2007, 08:31 PM
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UGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGH
Dude is 18/2/1.1 over 224 hands. Pure nit. I was ready to muck but then I thought... would he play a set like this? Isn't he more likely to have a pocket pair here?
This was my 2nd orbit at the table. Stats I have on the guy are from datamining, so he probably has no read on me. Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $4 BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums) SB ($502) BB ($404) UTG ($302.10) MP ($294.40) CO ($265.50) Hero ($410.70) Preflop: Hero is Button with T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP calls $4, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $18</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, BB calls $14, MP calls $14. Flop: ($56) 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> BB checks, MP checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $48</font>, <font color="#CC3333">BB raises to $200</font>, MP folds, 
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#2
04-15-2007, 08:39 PM
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Re: UGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGH
i take it you're very nitty
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#4
04-15-2007, 08:43 PM
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Re: UGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGH
[ QUOTE ]
i take it you're very nitty [/ QUOTE ] lol yah...i don't get the question. He could def. have a set/two pair/nut draw here as often as a flush...I push this just about always and chalk it up to bad luck if I lose.
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#5
04-15-2007, 08:47 PM
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Re: UGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGH
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] i take it you're very nitty [/ QUOTE ] lol yah...i don't get the question. He could def. have a set/two pair/nut draw here as often as a flush...I push this just about always and chalk it up to bad luck if I lose. [/ QUOTE ] I agree that versus 98% of my competition I get it all in and don't think twice, but over 220 hands this dude looked so goddamn nitty. I can't really describe it but the timing of his raise.. felt like he had a big one. COOLER ME AGAIN JESUS.
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#7
04-15-2007, 08:48 PM
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Re: UGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGH
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] i take it you're very nitty [/ QUOTE ] lol yah...i don't get the question. He could def. have a set/two pair/nut draw here as often as a flush...I push this just about always and chalk it up to bad luck if I lose. [/ QUOTE ] I agree that versus 98% of my competition I get it all in and don't think twice, but over 220 hands this dude looked so goddamn nitty. I can't really describe it but the timing of his raise.. felt like he had a big one. COOLER ME AGAIN JESUS. [/ QUOTE ] oh didn't see the part about him being super nitty, my bad. I still get it in, but yeah, i don't feel as great abou t it
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#8
04-15-2007, 08:51 PM
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Re: UGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGH
He's definitely trying to price you out, so he doesn't have the nut flush. Can't have a Q high flush, cuz that makes a straight flush which is even better than the nut flush (and it's not in his pf range anyway). And he's nitty, so he wouldn't call with SCs OOP? Only K high flush he can have is KQs, again assuming that he calls with that hand OOP (KTs not in his range, I don't think?). Odds of him having a flush here are pretty low, IMO.
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#9
04-15-2007, 09:13 PM
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Re: UGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGH
Yeah I don't think I would fold this just because he probably isn't calling with low SCs preflop and would likely fold some stuff like ATs/QTs too. Shove before the board gets scarier for him.
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