21.5 BB/100 over 25K hands. How crazy is this?

ffr · #1 11-15-2007, 02:57 PM

Ok, can we just address the question of what this could mean for future expectations? There is no way to keep up this type of return.

ffr · #2 11-15-2007, 03:02 PM

ahnuld, I didn't follow what you wrote. Can you please explain what those numbers mean?

I was actually showing 10.75 BB/100 on my PT, but was told PT calculates the "BB" as big bet not big blind. So I clicked the "Treat 'BB' for NL/PL as Big Blind Amount" in the PT preferences and now it shows 21.5 BB/100.

THANKS.

thac · #3 11-15-2007, 03:03 PM

[ QUOTE ]
ahnuld, I didn't follow what you wrote. Can you please explain what those numbers mean?

I was actually showing 10.75 BB/100 on my PT, but was told PT calculates the "BB" as big bet not big blind. So I clicked the "Treat 'BB' for NL/PL as Big Blind Amount" in the PT preferences and now it shows 21.5 BB/100.

THANKS.

[/ QUOTE ]

That makes sense.

MotorBoatingSOB · #4 11-15-2007, 03:07 PM

[ QUOTE ]
ahnuld, I didn't follow what you wrote. Can you please explain what those numbers mean?

I was actually showing 10.75 BB/100 on my PT, but was told PT calculates the "BB" as big bet not big blind. So I clicked the "Treat 'BB' for NL/PL as Big Blind Amount" in the PT preferences and now it shows 21.5 BB/100.

THANKS.

[/ QUOTE ]

so it's 10.75 ptbb/100? this is not that crazy, especially over only 25k hands.

ffr · #5 11-15-2007, 03:14 PM

I'm not asking wheter or not this is my tru winrate. I understand that this type of winrate can't be sustainable over a larger sample size.

I was just trying to see what can be safely assumed from the results so far. If a player is at 21.5 bb/100 over 25K, can it ALL be based on a CRAZY good run of cards? That seems unlikely as well, right?

I was just trying to see what people here felt this type of stat meant for future expectations (if anything can be gathered from it, really).

Daddy Warbucks · #6 11-15-2007, 03:20 PM

[ QUOTE ]

I was just trying to see what can be safely assumed from the results so far. If a player is at 21.5 bb/100 over 25K, can it ALL be based on a CRAZY good run of cards? That seems unlikely as well, right?

[/ QUOTE ]

You are most likely a losing player.

ahnuld · #7 11-15-2007, 03:23 PM

10.5 pt/bb is sustainable for the best players at 1/2 but they always move up and dont stay there. Im pretty sure I know a lot of guys who could do it 6 tabling over 100k hands. Doesnt mean OP's winrate is sustainable, but its possible

w_alloy · #8 11-15-2007, 06:39 PM

[ QUOTE ]
10.5 pt/bb is sustainable for the best players at 1/2 but they always move up and dont stay there. Im pretty sure I know a lot of guys who could do it 6 tabling over 100k hands. Doesnt mean OP's winrate is sustainable, but its possible

[/ QUOTE ]

prop bet?

I know this would never go down unless I got more people to put up money with me, but I would bet 10k (maybe less if you got a real superstar, but no less than 2k) that pretty much noone has a 10PTBB expectation at 1/2 at stars or FT 6 max.

ffr · #9 11-15-2007, 03:23 PM

Okay, I give up on this thread...lol. I can why it looks like I was just trying to brag, but that wasn't my intention. I was really curious as to what these results so far might transate into future expectations.

ffr · #10 11-15-2007, 03:31 PM

I played 1 or two tables at the most. The swings were crazy so I wanted to try switching to full ring games and multitable anywhere from usually 4-6 at a time. The swings are less and the winrate at each table has drastically dropped, but the overall profit seems similar (slightly less actually). I was assuming the 21.5 bb/100 is out of the question to sustain so I should stick with multitabling full ring games. It seems I got my answer, thanks.