What are the odds?

[Gubus]

This may belong in a bad beat forum, but I'm looking for a stat/game theory whiz (Andy Block type) to give me a little insight. Not about a hand, but rather a very long stretch of what appears to fall outside expected variance (at least to my somewhat limited knowledge of the subject).
I've been keeping track of my all-ins (NL Holdem) for a long time. I've got a lot of different catagories/situations, but will just post a common situation all can relate to. Pre-flop, all-in (me or the other player all-in): under pair vs 2 over cards. The classic ("thank you Mike Sexton") race situation. We all know the pair is usually favored by a few percentage points, but basically even money. As of this writing, when I'm holding the pair, my record is 61 wins, 252 losses or 19.5% (61 divided by 313 total situations). On the other hand, when I'm holding the over cards, I've won 28 out of 199 (14%). That's a combined 17.3% in a 50-50 spot. Maybe 512 times in that situation isn't a large enough sample, but it's going to take me a LONG time to get even.
I've got other much more improbable records, but believe me, you wouldn't believe me!
Gubus

[derosnec]

pecan

[VickreyAuction]

walnut

[skillgambler]

3.1415 : 3

[Bulletproof Monk]

i actually prefer beer nuts... does anyone know why they are so cheap compared to other snacks?

[Kevroc]

Is this live or online?

If it is online, you must close your account and open a new one for you have an "unlucky" account.

Also, do not use a numeral "4" in your user name or password.. it triggers an automatic Doomswitch.

If you have cashed out in the past two weeks, do NOT go all-in pre-flop... it is a classic software bug. You will lose.

If your monitor's resolution is set for 1600x1200, you should only go all-in with pocket pairs AA,QQ and TT.

If it is less than you should go all-in with KK, 99 and AKs.

Are you getting all this?

Also, if you are running pr0n in the background... do NOT watch midget pr0n while playing Omaha H/L or Animal Pr0n whilst playing Razz.. it causes a severe lag and sometimes the yellow screen of death.

Most random number generators use mouse movments to determine the next card(s) to come.

Thusly, I have found the formula below is 99.9% accurate.

Desired Card - Mouse Movement
------------------------------
Heart - One clockwise circle and a fist pump
Club - Half counter-clockwise circle; two belches
Diamond - Lightly tap the mouse ON the screen thrice
Spade - Touch mouse to chin repeatedly
Any Ace (wireless only) - Toss mouse 40 yards east

Good Luck at the tables and enjoy!

[NU Star]

[ QUOTE ]
Is this live or online?

If it is online, you must close your account and open a new one for you have an "unlucky" account.

Also, do not use a numeral "4" in your user name or password.. it triggers an automatic Doomswitch.

If you have cashed out in the past two weeks, do NOT go all-in pre-flop... it is a classic software bug. You will lose.

If your monitor's resolution is set for 1600x1200, you should only go all-in with pocket pairs AA,QQ and TT.

If it is less than you should go all-in with KK, 99 and AKs.

Are you getting all this?

Also, if you are running pr0n in the background... do NOT watch midget pr0n while playing Omaha H/L or Animal Pr0n whilst playing Razz.. it causes a severe lag and sometimes the yellow screen of death.

Most random number generators use mouse movments to determine the next card(s) to come.

Thusly, I have found the formula below is 99.9% accurate.

Desired Card - Mouse Movement
------------------------------
Heart - One clockwise circle and a fist pump
Club - Half counter-clockwise circle; two belches
Diamond - Lightly tap the mouse ON the screen thrice
Spade - Touch mouse to chin repeatedly
Any Ace (wireless only) - Toss mouse 40 yards east

Good Luck at the tables and enjoy!

[/ QUOTE ]

I've seen information similar to this sold on eBay.

[apefish]

That my head just asploded?
Almond.

[im a model]

candied yam

[futuredoc85]

50/50 /thread

edit: and im disappointed in anyone who read the OP