100NL live: AA in SB

[Russ M.]

Playing some 100NL (2/2 blinds) live tonight. Had some huge hands and was up to over $400 when the following came up:

Couple of limpers, shortie goes all-in for $18. Crazy drunk guy to my right on the button min-raises to $36. This guy was just a crazy idiot, making tons of donk raises to $4 and $5 and often cold called raises preflop blind. He has about $400 behind as well. I look down at AA in the SB. I really do not want to take my hand OOP against him as he could have any two at this point, although even the drunk fools can wake up with a big hand. If I let him in cheap, he may outflop me and I doubt I can get away from an overpair, especially against this guy. I've seen him only call small all-in raises with marginal holdings.

What's the optimal play here?

[Humble Pie]

You have to get him to put in more $ pre-flop w/o him folding, Probally raise 2/3 pot or pot.

[Grunch]

Make it 100 to go.

[MrWookie]

To me, 100 doesn't seem to work out quite well. It leaves us with a 1.5 PSB behind if he calls. The guy is a donk, but I'm not sure I'd have faith in him to call a big overbet on the flop, and betting a PSB or less leaves us with little on the turn, which seems just kind of weird. If we make it a little less, like $80ish, then we'll end up with 2 PSBs behind, and we might have better luck getting him to call a 2/3 PSB on the flop followed by our turn push. Plus, he's more likely to call the smaller raise. With deeper stacks, I'd be more inclined to go with 100.

[Grunch]

We can bet just slightly more than half pot on the flop, then get the rest in on the turn.

[sweetjazz]

I don't think this is that hard of a hand. Raise to at least $80 or $90 and then up that as much as you think he will keep calling with the vast majority of his range. Then bet flop for 2/3 - 3/4 pot and put the rest in on the turn, regardless of what falls. (The only exceptions might be KKx, QQx, JJx boards where you might do better check/calling postflop to induce bluffs.)

[Matt Flynn]

like Wookie said.

sounds like you are overestimating how often he will outflop you. you were handed a near-perfect situation where it's 18bb in before it gets to you.

all-in isn't as bad as it sounds - if he's drunk he might call.

since he wasn't that drunk make it $100 to go. then checkraise him all-in if he likes to bluff, and bet the flop if he doesn't. you might bet just $100. let him draw, just get his chips in. after putting in $100 preflop he'll wonder wtf you are up to and may push. if not there's just $200 left.

[Grunch]

[ QUOTE ]
like Wookie said.

sounds like you are overestimating how often he will outflop you. you were handed a near-perfect situation where it's 18bb in before it gets to you.

all-in isn't as bad as it sounds - if he's drunk he might call.

since he wasn't that drunk make it $100 to go. then checkraise him all-in if he likes to bluff, and bet the flop if he doesn't. you might bet just $100. let him draw, just get his chips in. after putting in $100 preflop he'll wonder wtf you are up to and may push. if not there's just $200 left.

[/ QUOTE ]

I only used 25 words. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

[Russ M.]

[ QUOTE ]
sounds like you are overestimating how often he will outflop you.

[/ QUOTE ]

This is likely the main problem in the hand. I couldn't help but feel this way seeing this guy make the nuts hand after hand.