[100nl] Flop bottom 2 out of BB, facing heat from UTG limper

Grinding2Ecstasy · #1 10-25-2007, 01:38 PM

Full Tilt Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $1 BB (9 handed) Hand History converter Courtesy of PokerZion.com

MP2 ($100)
MP3 ($66.40)
CO ($99)
Button ($84.55)
SB ($19)
Hero ($214.60)
UTG ($100)
UTG+1 ($99.50)
MP1 ($103.80)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
UTG calls $1, 3 folds, MP3 calls $1, 3 folds, Hero checks.

Flop: ($3.50) 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (3 players)
Hero bets $2.5, UTG raises to $11, MP3 folds, Hero ?

UTG is 15/4 over 100 hands. What should my plan be here, I just see a lot of ugly situations arising. If I raise and he reraises I'm feeling sick, if I raise and he just calls, then ugly turn comes and he wants to get it in, feeling sick.

Albert Moulton · #2 10-25-2007, 01:45 PM

Fold. I would recommend never playing bottom two pair for a big pot from the blinds in a limped pot. Even when you are ahead, you aren't ahead by much. And when you are behind, you are practically drawing dead. This is a great reverse implied odds situation in which you stand to win a little, or lose a lot.

So, the flop bet for $2.5 is good.

Fold to the big raise.

Grinding2Ecstasy · #3 10-25-2007, 01:49 PM

actually just got some stats on him, hes 15/4 over 100 hands.

wallenborn · #4 10-25-2007, 01:50 PM

You are behind one combo of 33 and one of 88. He could have A3 (6) or A8 (6). AA is also possible (3 combos), as he might have tried a limp-reraise. That's a total of 17 combos.

On the other hand, there's 12 combos of every Ax he might have limped UTG and raises you now, thinking "Hero would have raised AQ+, so my AJ must be good". He is not going to raise here with A7, and he would have raised preflop with AQ+, so there is a limited number of kickers he could have.

Overall, i think you are ahead of his range. I'd call and reevaluate on the turn.