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Old 08-30-2006, 12:33 AM
Surf Surf is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2004
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Default Re: 10/20 - AA - turn pairs Q; ABC player donks

Hey Hoi,

Rube brought up a good point that is worth spending more time thinking about... the very reasons why you suspect our passive opponent should have a Q here (knows you'll raise a wide hand range preflop and bet it on the flop, has seen you check behind the turn UI) is exactly the reason why he has a much wider hand range than just Qx.
The turn is the opposite of a scare card for him, he could be betting most/any PPs, strong A-hi, even weird stuff like A5, etc, b/c he assumes now that his hand is now best given the quiet action and the top card making it less likely that a Q is out.

I think you need to show this down without some very, very strong read beyond "generally passive."

Surf
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