Pair + OESD = Marginal

kolotoure · #1 11-01-2007, 02:27 AM

Villain is a bad lag and his 3-betting range is wide

Full Tilt Poker
Pot Limit Omaha Ring game
Blinds: $1.1/$1.1
3 players
Converter

Pre-flop: (3 players) Kolo is Button with K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
Kolo raises to $.85, SB raises to $1.45, BB calls, Kolo calls.

Flop: J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($135, 3 players)
SB bets $4.35, BB folds, Kolo raises to $17.40, SB calls all-in $18.20, Kolo calls.

2handed · #2 11-01-2007, 02:32 AM

Looks like a decent spot to stack off against a bad player to me.

chucky · #3 11-01-2007, 02:55 AM

Looks fine. In future include all relevant stacks in hand history.

kolotoure · #4 11-01-2007, 03:17 AM

I had to manually edit the hh because the converter mangled it and forgot to put stack sizes back in

iggymcfly · #5 11-01-2007, 04:36 AM

You might want to try manually editing it again. It's way off right now.

OrrLives · #6 11-01-2007, 05:19 AM

Looks good to me. If you are not against a set, there are few scenarios in which you are huge underdog.

Against AJXX with a gutshot and backdoor flush draw, it is about even money.
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
Qs 2s Kh Jh 415 50.61 405 49.39 0 0.00 0.506
Ac 9c Jd 7h 405 49.39 415 50.61 0 0.00 0.494

Against AAXX with bad side cards, hero is ahead
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
Qs 2s Kh Jh 454 55.37 366 44.63 0 0.00 0.554
Ac 3c Ad 7h 366 44.63 454 55.37 0 0.00 0.446

Against top two pair with a gutshot and double backdoor flush draws, hero is a bit behind.
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
Qs 2s Kh Jh 366 44.63 454 55.37 0 0.00 0.446
Tc 7c Ad Jd 454 55.37 366 44.63 0 0.00 0.554