50nl 6max: Joan of Arc vs LAG/semi bad villain 200bb overbet

[meleader2]

<font color="blue">200bb overbet on the river, can Joan of Arc really call here?</font>


Full Tilt Poker, $0.25/$0.50 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LegoPoker Hand History Converter

UTG: $127.70 <font color="blue">&lt;---LAG villain</font>
MP: $115.35
CO: $168.80 <font color="blue">&lt;---Joan of Arc</font>
Hero (BTN): $53.60
SB: $54.85
BB: $132.05

Pre-Flop: J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BTN)
UTG calls $0.50, MP folds, CO calls $0.50, Hero calls $0.50, SB calls $0.25, BB checks

<font color="blue">everyone wants to get in vs this guy...if UTG is playing, we all are</font>


Flop: ($2.50) 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 5 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (5 Players)
SB checks, BB checks, UTG checks, CO checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($2.50) 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (5 Players)
SB checks, BB checks, <font color="red">UTG bets $2.50</font>, <font color="red">CO raises to $10</font>, 3 folds, UTG calls $7.50

River: ($22.50) A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">UTG bets $117.20 and is All-In</font>, CO ????




<font color="blue">CO has 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ... can he make this call?






UTG is very loose/aggressive. in a previous hand this occured when i was in against him:
</font>


Full Tilt Poker, $0.25/$0.50 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LegoPoker Hand History Converter

MP: $160.10
CO: $107.95
BTN: $198.75
Hero (SB): $54.45
BB: $24.50
UTG: $114.80

Pre-Flop: 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (SB)
UTG folds, MP calls $0.50, 2 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $2</font>, BB folds, MP calls $1.50

Flop: ($4.50) 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 3 (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $4.50</font>, <font color="red">MP raises to $158.10 and is All-In</font>, Hero calls $47.95 and is All-In

Turn: ($109.40) 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players - 1 is All-In)

River: ($109.40) 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players - 1 is All-In)

Results: $109.40 Pot ($3 Rake)
MP showed 8 8 (a straight, Nine high) and WON $53.20 (-$1.25 NET)
Hero showed 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (a straight, Nine high) and WON $53.20 (-$1.25 NET)





<font color="blue">if anyone knows my SN on FTP plz don't out me.</font>

[Antinome]

Against a range of {A9, A6, 78, 56, *h*h} he needs 2:1, getting 1.2:1, and can't call. He has to think villain's range includes a few combos (~12) of Ax before he gets the right odds {*h*h, 78, A6, A9, 56, AK}, or includes some slowplayed sets {*h*h,78,A6,A9,56,55,99,AA,66}, or both {*h*h, 78, A6, A9, 56, 55, 66, 99, AA, AK}. Since those last three ranges are reasonable for this guy, I think the call is fine, though obv. high variance.