NL 50- Overpair in BVB battle

[MatteyA28]

Villain is 33/8/.8 over 35 hands.

Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 5 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

UTG: $42.95
CO: $88.50
BTN: $35.95
Hero (SB): $52.05
BB: $28.40

Pre-Flop: K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (SB)
3 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $1.50</font>, BB calls $1

Flop: ($3) T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $2.25</font>, BB calls $2.25

Turn: ($7.50) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $5</font>, BB calls $5

River: ($17.50) J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero?

Villain has $20.15 left.

[Nick Royale]

Awkward stack sizes. With 100bb it's a b/f like 11. Here I might c/c, hopnig he'll bluff with KQ and some other weak hands and v-bet some Ts. Fold vs a big bet.

[Nick C]

The stats Villain has generated so far aren't so aggressive, but that river card is both a genuine scare card and also the kind of card that many, many players love to bluff (and bluff-raise).

I'm not fully comfortable with any plan, but I think I like Nick Royale's plan of checking and calling unless Villain bombs the river. I'm not sure exactly where the cutoff point should be, but his stats do suggest that if he bluffs, there's a good chance the bluff will be smallish. And although a hand like T9 is possible, there's also some chance Villain has a complete bust (AQ/KQ/Q9/Q8) that he can't call with.