Tough AA Situation on Turn

viper930 · #1 08-06-2006, 08:24 PM

Party 50NL, villain is seems somewhat ok, about 20/11/1.5 i believe over about 100 hands. This turn a fold?

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

saw flop|saw showdown

MP ($53.52)
CO ($120.81)
Hero ($60.25)
SB ($71.25)
BB ($40.35)
UTG ($50)

Preflop: Hero is Button with A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $0.25.
2 folds, CO raises to $1, Hero raises to $3.5, SB (poster) calls $3.25, 1 fold, CO calls $2.50.

Flop: ($11) 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (3 players)
SB checks, CO checks, Hero bets $9, SB calls $9, CO folds.

Turn: ($29) 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $20, SB calls $58.75 (All-In).

viper930 · #2 08-06-2006, 08:26 PM

I guess checking behind on the turn would have been optimal for this pot since I have the Ah so that makes a flush draw unlikely for villain.

CruS · #3 08-06-2006, 08:37 PM

check / call on flop with a check / reraise on turn is usually a sign of a set / other big hand. I'd say if you are lucky he has KhTh.

Havok · #4 08-06-2006, 09:30 PM

[ QUOTE ]
check / call on flop with a check / reraise on turn is usually a sign of a set / other big hand. I'd say if you are lucky he has KhTh.

[/ QUOTE ]

I agree. I hate these hands so much. I don't know how many times I called in this spot in the past agaisnt a TAG for them to flip over their set, and me thinking they're making a move with flush draw or top pair. I think given your PF action its easy for villian to put you on a big hand like aces or kings. And he's saying I have that beat on the turn. I would fold and curse the poker gods for having me out flopped.

viper930 · #5 08-06-2006, 09:40 PM

Is KK/QQ likely here at all with him trying to stakadonk on me?

tannenj · #6 08-06-2006, 09:51 PM

i don't fold here getting almost 3:1, those odds are just too good.

CallYNotRaise06 · #7 08-06-2006, 10:07 PM

turn is a call, but i dont like my hand as much now.

kbinder · #8 08-06-2006, 10:20 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Is KK/QQ likely here at all with him trying to stakadonk on me?

[/ QUOTE ]

Yes. At least often enough to make the 2.5-1 odds favorable.

m_the0ry · #9 08-06-2006, 10:29 PM

check call/check raise AI isnt really a line for a set, this is a call

BalugaWhale · #10 08-06-2006, 11:13 PM

[ QUOTE ]
check call/check raise AI isnt really a line for a set

[/ QUOTE ]

seriously?? have you ever played on party?

I think the turn is meh. Probably a set a lot of the time, probably a random overpair a lot.

I probably fold this, but calling is okay too.