#1
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World Series Experiment
I decided to try to use my Strat-o-matic baseball simulator to make picks on the series this year. I've updated all players based on their 2007 stats.So far I've played Game 1 Francis vs. Beckett 50 times (due to time constraints, small sample, I know) for a record of COL-24 BOS-26. That'd make Strat's price on the Rockies around +110, as opposed to the posted odds of +190, for a conceivable pick. Also, the sim says the total should be 9.22, which is too close for a pick on the total. But, if at all accurate, the Rockies have value at +190. Let the experiment begin.
Strat-o-matic Game 1 pick: COL +190 for 1 unit YTD 0-0, 0 units |
#2
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Re: World Series Experiment
What is this strat-o-matic? Where did you get it? And why didn't you run the simulation more than 50 times?
Edit: I guess it was due to time constraints, how long does it take to run one simulation? |
#3
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Re: World Series Experiment
www.strat-o-matic.com
It only takes a few seconds to run the sim, but between renovating my house and playing poker I don't have much time at all. Most of my time went to updating rosters and adjusting players cards to perform as they did this season. |
#4
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Re: World Series Experiment
I ran 50 more games, for a total of 100. COL-49 BOS-51
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#5
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Re: World Series Experiment
Fade the strange contraption.
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#6
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Re: World Series Experiment
JTreez - I think that basing on your bets on strat-o-matic results is kind of wacky.
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#7
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Re: World Series Experiment
I grew up playing strat o matic with my brother. Well done and good luck.
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#8
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Re: World Series Experiment
Quite possibly. This is just an experiment, I'm not putting a red cent on this.
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#9
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Re: World Series Experiment
[ QUOTE ]
Quite possibly. This is just an experiment, I'm not putting a red cent on this. [/ QUOTE ] http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/po...rd=sportevents |
#10
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Re: World Series Experiment
Strat-o-matic?!?!
LOL. Good luck! The thought of doing the same actually crossed my mind on one occasion. Has anyone thought of using "Pizza Box Football" http://www.boardgamegeek.com/game/17851 To calculate spreads, ML's and totals? LOL. |
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