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  #1  
Old 10-24-2007, 11:43 AM
J_Treez J_Treez is offline
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Default World Series Experiment

I decided to try to use my Strat-o-matic baseball simulator to make picks on the series this year. I've updated all players based on their 2007 stats.So far I've played Game 1 Francis vs. Beckett 50 times (due to time constraints, small sample, I know) for a record of COL-24 BOS-26. That'd make Strat's price on the Rockies around +110, as opposed to the posted odds of +190, for a conceivable pick. Also, the sim says the total should be 9.22, which is too close for a pick on the total. But, if at all accurate, the Rockies have value at +190. Let the experiment begin.

Strat-o-matic Game 1 pick: COL +190 for 1 unit
YTD 0-0, 0 units
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  #2  
Old 10-24-2007, 11:52 AM
splashpot splashpot is offline
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Default Re: World Series Experiment

What is this strat-o-matic? Where did you get it? And why didn't you run the simulation more than 50 times?
Edit: I guess it was due to time constraints, how long does it take to run one simulation?
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  #3  
Old 10-24-2007, 12:03 PM
J_Treez J_Treez is offline
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Default Re: World Series Experiment

www.strat-o-matic.com

It only takes a few seconds to run the sim, but between renovating my house and playing poker I don't have much time at all. Most of my time went to updating rosters and adjusting players cards to perform as they did this season.
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  #4  
Old 10-24-2007, 12:36 PM
J_Treez J_Treez is offline
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Default Re: World Series Experiment

I ran 50 more games, for a total of 100. COL-49 BOS-51
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  #5  
Old 10-24-2007, 12:50 PM
domer2 domer2 is offline
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Default Re: World Series Experiment

Fade the strange contraption.
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  #6  
Old 10-24-2007, 01:47 PM
MicroBob MicroBob is offline
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Default Re: World Series Experiment

JTreez - I think that basing on your bets on strat-o-matic results is kind of wacky.
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  #7  
Old 10-24-2007, 01:53 PM
Grasshopp3r Grasshopp3r is offline
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Default Re: World Series Experiment

I grew up playing strat o matic with my brother. Well done and good luck.
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  #8  
Old 10-24-2007, 02:07 PM
J_Treez J_Treez is offline
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Default Re: World Series Experiment

Quite possibly. This is just an experiment, I'm not putting a red cent on this.
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  #9  
Old 10-24-2007, 02:53 PM
NajdorfDefense NajdorfDefense is offline
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Default Re: World Series Experiment

[ QUOTE ]
Quite possibly. This is just an experiment, I'm not putting a red cent on this.

[/ QUOTE ]

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/po...rd=sportevents
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  #10  
Old 10-24-2007, 10:44 PM
Salmon Salmon is offline
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Default Re: World Series Experiment

Strat-o-matic?!?!

LOL.

Good luck! The thought of doing the same actually crossed my mind on one occasion.

Has anyone thought of using "Pizza Box Football"

http://www.boardgamegeek.com/game/17851

To calculate spreads, ML's and totals?

LOL.
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