NL10 - Flopped set BVB, horrible river card

[microDonk]

This hand played out a little strange, but my biggest question is about what to do on the river. I called his flopped C/R because I didn't want to blow away a weak A, and I wasn't as worried about the flush draw being heads-up. When he C/C the turn, I'm putting his range as a big A, 2 pair, or a draw. IMO the river is about the worst card possible, and I really wasn't sure whether to check behind or bet for value. What do you guys think?


Poker Stars - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.05/$0.10 Blinds - 5 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

SB: $12.15
Hero (BB): $28.75
UTG: $21.50
CO: $7.05
BTN: $10.20

Reads: <font color="blue">Villian is 46/8/2.4 after about 100 hands. Hasn't played many big hands, but has had an average or better hand when he has.</font>

Preflop: Hero is dealt (5 Players)
3 folds, SB calls $0.05, <font color="red">Hero raises to $0.40</font>, SB calls $0.30

Flop: ($0.80) (2 Players)
SB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $0.70</font>, <font color="red">SB raises to $1.40</font>, Hero calls $0.70

Turn: ($3.60) (2 Players)
SB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $3.00</font>, SB calls $3.00

River: ($9.60) (2 Players)
SB checks, Hero ???

Pot Size: $9.60 ($0.45 Rake)

[HoldemPokerPlyr]

Tough hand to say IMO. You're playing 10NL, I don't think somebody would honestly reraise you with a FLUSH draw. He probably has a worse hand than yours. I'd put him on Ax or maybe even Aces up.

[Andercock]

I bet ~$5 here because I figure he has a weak ace here and will probably call.

[cb4mvp]

I don't think you really have to worry about blowing this guy off a weak A if you raise him on the flop, but calling is fine too. River is pretty tough to say here though. I wouldn't always bet this river, it would depend on any reads I had on this guy. This does seem more like 2pr or Ax than a flush, though, so I would bet $6 or so for value on river.

[gimmetheloot]

all-in

[cooker3]

Given the range you give him I just push. I think your ahead more times then not

74 games 0.029 secs 2,551 games/sec

Board: Ac 6s 8s 2d 9s
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 68.919% 68.92% 00.00% 51 0.00 { 6d6h }
Hand 1: 31.081% 31.08% 00.00% 23 0.00 { AJs+, A8s, A6s, T7s, 97s, 86s, 75s, AQo+, A8o, A6o, 97o, 86o, 75o }

[tme03]

Very unlikely to have a straight or flush here, I value bet the river with half pot bet. Big bet will probably see villain fold anything but a flush.

[wildzer0]

I push and expect to get called by an ace. I 3bet this flop every time though.

[Lego05]

This is one reason why you 3bet the flop.

As played shove all-in and hope he calls you with an A.

[terencetsao]

3 bet the flop
and shove the river