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Re: 25 Max - Pair + FD = all in?
Big draws are valuable because although you're a coinflip if called, you gain FE from being aggressive. This is the MAIN reason they are profitable. Since villain is AI, we obviously have 0 FE, so the profitability falls a lot.
Poker Stove Output: Hand 0: Jc8c 49.031% Equity Hand 1: TT+, AQs+, KQs, AKo, 3d2s 50.969% Equity, I think this is the optimistic range he's on. TT is probably out, as is the 32o to represent a pure bluff. If you take them out, your equity falls to 42%. Add in the fact that your draw is not to the nuts, your equity will fall if you weight hands with clubs more heavily. You need 44%+ to make calling profitable, so it's probably not a big mistake either way. If you feel lucky go for it. I fold to avoid the giant swings taking these sorts of bets brings. |
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