AQ turn decision in blind battle crypto 2-4

Hydrant · #1 08-12-2007, 06:58 PM

The villan is 17.5/5/1.8 after only 60 hands.

Cryptologic 2.00/4.00 Hold'em (9 handed) link

Preflop: Hero is SB with Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
7 folds, Hero raises, BB calls.

Flop: (4.00 SB) 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero bets, BB calls.

Turn: (3.00 BB) J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero bets, BB raises, Hero ?

johnb · #2 08-12-2007, 07:19 PM

Fold. You have two outs that may not be good and a small pot..JB

Hydrant · #3 08-12-2007, 07:24 PM

How did you come up with 2 outs only?

KitCloudkicker · #4 08-12-2007, 07:30 PM

i would call this down until you get a good read on how villain plays a blind battle. there are a lot of good semi bluffing opportunities on this board.

leo doc · #5 08-13-2007, 08:55 AM

[ QUOTE ]
How did you come up with 2 outs only?

[/ QUOTE ]
I have no idea how he came up with that either; but he makes a point in that the pot is small and folding wouldn't be terrible.

OTOH, I agree with Kit in that this board is just right for a semi-bluff raise. Given that you really don't have much data on BB, I'd probably call here, then c/f (or maybe c/c, depending on card) river UI.

The only other option would be to 3-bet this turn (just to see what he's "really made of") and fold to 4. If villian called the 3 bet, the river play would really depend on what fell.

HoneyBadger · #6 08-13-2007, 09:06 AM

c/r the flop and go from there.

You're getting 6:1, call.

jakbse · #7 08-13-2007, 09:52 AM

I figure he may do this with a flush draw and would call pretty light, but in this case I think your SD value is low and you don't have enough outs to call IMO. I'd fold here

leo doc · #8 08-13-2007, 10:09 AM

What makes you think he'd be able to c/r the flop after being PFR? If I'm BB with a weak hand, I'd take the freebie. Agree with the turn call tho.

HoneyBadger · #9 08-13-2007, 10:35 AM

People checking behind in a blind steal is new to me. But a regular bet is perfectly fine.

I sure hope you will bet any hand when a pfr checks to you in a blind steal.

johnb · #10 08-13-2007, 09:55 PM

I probably should have said two 'clean' outs with the idea that Ah, Qh, As could complete the flush. There were actually 3 clean outs Qc, Ac, Qd. The point being that any of the first three could complete a flush for your opponent. Given that, I want a little bigger pot to be playing for as I need the extra equity for the times I make my hand and was drawing dead. Anybody else see the possibility that the BB caught trips on the flop and waited until the turn to raise? JB