#1
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Folding TPTK for one bet on river and not so scary board?
Button is 18/15/1.0
CO is 60/0/0.86 Party Poker 2/4 Hold'em (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums) Preflop: Hero is SB with A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. UTG posts a blind of $2. <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, CO calls, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero 3-bets</font>, UTG (poster) calls, CO calls, Button calls. Flop: (12 SB) A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(5 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, UTG calls, CO calls, Button calls. Turn: (8 BB) T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(5 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, UTG folds, <font color="#CC3333">CO raises</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button 3-bets</font>, Hero calls, <font color="#CC3333">CO caps</font>, Button calls, Hero calls. River: (20 BB) 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font> Hero checks, CO checks, <font color="#CC3333">Button bets</font>, Hero ? |
#2
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Re: Folding TPTK for one bet on river and not so scary board?
no.
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#3
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Re: Folding TPTK for one bet on river and not so scary board?
Against 2 villains who this is a little tougher. But not much, honestly.
Unless you can with a good amount of certainty conclude that CO is being trying for the check/raise (and I doubt that you can) there's really no reason to fold TPTK here getting 21:1. |
#4
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Re: Folding TPTK for one bet on river and not so scary board?
Meh. Button's got you beat, with two-pair or a set. CO's either got a busted big draw in which case he's not over-calling, or he's got a monster and he's being too tricky and going for the c/r.
So, you're paying one bet to lose to Button or two to lose to CO (possibly paying just one to fold when it's 3-bet back to you). In a 21BB pot, I don't think it matters much, as long as you don't put in more than one bet to showdown. |
#5
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Re: Folding TPTK for one bet on river and not so scary board?
You're beat but should call anyway. The pot is huge.
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#6
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Re: Folding TPTK for one bet on river and not so scary board?
drmodern is right
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#7
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Re: Folding TPTK for one bet on river and not so scary board?
CALL!
You will often lose but probably not that often. Buttons play does look like TT or a slowplayed AA though... The real question is if CO checkraises and button just calls do you call for 1 more? |
#8
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Re: Folding TPTK for one bet on river and not so scary board?
I think calling the river bet is correct given the pot.
Would anyone justify capping the turn for value?The hero has more than 33% to win the pot,doesn't he? |
#9
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Re: Folding TPTK for one bet on river and not so scary board?
[ QUOTE ]
I think calling the river bet is correct given the pot. Would anyone justify capping the turn for value?The hero has more than 33% to win the pot,doesn't he? [/ QUOTE ] Do a weighted outs analysis, and you tell us. (I'll admit that I thought about it before I posted.) |
#10
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Re: Folding TPTK for one bet on river and not so scary board?
Equity on turn given the hands I put my opponents on.
Hand 0: 22.604% 20.87% 01.73% 4120 342.00 { AsKs } Hand 1: 35.572% 32.90% 02.67% 6494 528.00 { TT-99, AKs, ATs-A9s, AKo, ATo } Hand 2: 41.824% 40.88% 00.94% 8070 186.00 { TT-99, 33, ATs, T9s, T3s, ATo, T9o, T3o } |
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