TT as overpair on undercard board from hell

[DMoogle]

Villain has been pretty aggressive so far, opening a lot of pots. He's only been at the table for 30 hands though, and hasn't gone to showdown yet. He has not done anything stupid yet, and his stats are 42/39 so far over those 30 hands. He has only 3-bet once, and folded the only other time he got 3-bet (which was by me). I doubled up earlier with a set over set.


Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $2/$4 Blinds - 5 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

SB: $394.00
BB: $542.40
UTG: $522.00
Hero (CO): $787.00
BTN: $573.90

Preflop: Hero is dealt T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (5 Players)
<font color="red">UTG raises to $14.00</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $48.00</font>, 3 folds, UTG calls $34.00

Flop: ($102) 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
UTG checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $65.00</font>, UTG calls $65.00

Turn: ($232) 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">UTG bets $145.00</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $667.00?</font>

[Praetor]

why would you shove on the turn

[DMoogle]

[ QUOTE ]
why would you shove on the turn

[/ QUOTE ]
Because he's representing that he's unsure about his hand strength.

[Praetor]

what? you are bluffing?

[DMoogle]

No, I think I have the best hand unless I'm up against jacks or maybe queens. I don't think he has a straight and I doubt he ever has a set. Calling is obviously terrible, so it's either fold or shove. Considering how terrible that board is, I think a lot of players would fold, but his line doesn't really make sense for one that is beating me. He's probably raising that flop if he hit a set or a draw.

[David LoPan]

ewww

fold turn maybe?

[Jojje_2k]

Is it possible to get called by worse hands?

No?

[TheJared]

hate it would just call turn if I thought I was ahead.

[DMoogle]

He's got half his stack in. I puke on just about any river that he open-shoves on.

[TheJared]

I would be puking when he lead this turn but maybe that is just me. I mean what are you hoping he has? In terms of actual hands that he would play this way that are worse. He is 42/29 sure, but there are way too many two pair/straight combos given this board and I doubt he is ever bluffing here given the preflop action. I also like a much larger flop bet and a larger preflop bet. I think you set yourself up for this spot. Against a smaller stack sure but you need to size bets on prior streets so there is less money left on this turn.

Preflop I make it 52/54. Flop I bet 90% of pot on flop. I don't do this against most players but this guy is 42/29 and probably isn't paying that much attention. I think inflating the size of the pot on the turn makes this decision easier one way or the other and makes your play more valid.