Top pair and an OESD

Absolution · #1 11-10-2006, 12:44 PM

SB is a calling station and generally predictable up to this point. BB is decent, but will overplay hands/draws:

PokerStars 0.25/0.50 Hold'em (4 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Preflop: Hero is Button with 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
1 fold, Hero raises, SB calls, BB calls.

Flop: (6 SB) 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (3 players)
SB checks, BB bets, Hero raises, SB calls, BB 3-bets, Hero caps, SB calls, BB calls.

This might be spew on this board even though BB is overaggressive. I thought there was a good chance he was pumping a draw and the SB was chasing and padding for me. This might have been a good time to wait for a safe turn card.

Turn: (9 BB) 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (3 players)
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets, SB calls, BB folds.

Strange that he folded here. I don't know what he would play this way. Maybe I knocked him off of something like K9 or middle pair.

River: (11 BB) 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
SB bets, Hero folds.

This might be a bad fold, but after all of that action he can't expect me to fold here. This looks like a bet to ensure it's not checked through. The pot is big though.

Final Pot: 12 BB

jonny drama · #2 11-10-2006, 12:45 PM

i think it's fine.

poisonxfree · #3 11-10-2006, 12:56 PM

Yeah I think a fold is your best bet. It looks a lot like he hit his flush or some raggy 2 pr came in.

Gazzbut · #4 11-10-2006, 01:20 PM

how many hands have you got on sb? He only needs to bet whiffed overcards 8% of the time here for a river call to be +ev.

jonny drama · #5 11-10-2006, 01:26 PM

[ QUOTE ]
how many hands have you got on sb? He only needs to bet whiffed overcards 8% of the time here for a river call to be +ev.

[/ QUOTE ]

I might just be quibbling about semantics, but this pretty much isnt true.

scp · #6 11-10-2006, 02:10 PM

SB's overall intention is obviously to pay less unless he hit his flush, however I dont see any reason why he's calling an extra 2sb after you cap it even he's probably holding Axs and he aims to maximize the value on later streets if any of you flopped a straight. I've a question btw why are u leading when a rag fell on turn? You want to see where your hand is or you are just asking for a fold to get HU?

VickreyAuction · #7 11-10-2006, 05:18 PM

I'd fold PF. Postflop is standard, but the pot's too big for calling the river to be bad.

Absolution · #8 11-10-2006, 05:19 PM

[ QUOTE ]
I'd fold PF. Postflop is standard, but the pot's too big for calling the river to be bad.

[/ QUOTE ]

Because the game is too loose at this level to bother pushing these cards?

VickreyAuction · #9 11-10-2006, 05:36 PM

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I'd fold PF. Postflop is standard, but the pot's too big for calling the river to be bad.

[/ QUOTE ]

Because the game is too loose at this level to bother pushing these cards?

[/ QUOTE ]

Folding PF? Yeah. My thinking is that if villains call the flop loosely, then they'll be doing the right thing since they'll be ahead of our 9 high. I'd steal vs a TAG or someone who doesn't defend his blind enough.