10nl: can we safely say this guy's on tilt?

gedanken · #1 08-24-2007, 05:26 AM

UTG is 57/14/2.8 over 30 or 40 hands. I've got a note that he's a thinking lag, one of those that gets everyone playing back light, and taking them to the cleaners with the nuts. He's also picking off my cbets mercilessly.

He's been deep, but an few hands ago he lost a buyin to a set -- he had KK as an overpair.

He's bet or raised every action since then, this is the 3rd hand in a row. Both the others were folded on the flop, so that's just a couple PF raises and cbets, plus the action on this hand:

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (6 handed)

BB ($5)
UTG ($7.05)
MP ($16.20)
CO ($20.85)
Button ($4.70)
Hero ($16.65)

Preflop: Hero is SB with A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
UTG raises to $0.4, 3 folds, Hero raises to $1.2, 1 fold, UTG raises to $7.05, Hero calls?

VivaHate · #2 08-24-2007, 05:37 AM

I fold and wait for a better spot, I can't see him doing this without JJ+ AK, hoping that you call because you think he's tilting. His pfr is pretty low compared to his vpip so for him to 4bet light would be unlikely in my opinion.

crovax4444 · #3 08-24-2007, 05:39 AM

If your read is good, I don't hate it. Even if he had a pocket pair, your racing

Crovax

Willem · #4 08-24-2007, 06:56 AM

I always call here, but I'm a compulsive gambler in these spots.

Also, your hand is suited.

okcomputer69 · #5 08-25-2007, 04:53 AM

I would wait for a better spot to get all of your money in with him when you know for sure that he is FBTing it and you know you got the best of it. It's not bad at all to push the AQs, but it doesn't look good here.

No1Addict · #6 08-25-2007, 05:34 AM

gedanken,

I say there something else to consider here. You say he's been constantly playing back at you. If you have a history of folding to his re-raises he might be doing it light as he reads you for weak.
His raising range is small to his VPIP but I think it's still wide enough for a call to be +EV here.

BishopsFinger · #7 08-25-2007, 06:52 AM

fold this