Two Plus Two Newer Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Newer Archives > General Poker Discussion > Poker Theory

 
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Prev Previous Post   Next Post Next
  #1  
Old 11-26-2007, 09:01 PM
jesse8888 jesse8888 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: May 2007
Location: Missing bets with King high
Posts: 833
Default Determining the probability that you\'re a winning player

I play live limit texas holdem and would like to determine the probability that I am a winning player. What information do I need to do this? I have heard that for solid, TAG play the standard deviation for an hour of play is around 15 big bets. Is that true? That seems massive to me....If I assume this to be true, how do I apply it to the fact that I have won X big bets in Y hours to generate a probability distribution for my true win rate?

In case I haven't been clear so far, I'm looking to come up with statements such as the following:

There is an X percent chance that I am a losing player.
There is a Y percent chance that my true win rate is above .5 big bets per hour.
There is a Z percent chance that my true win rate is above 1 big bet per hour.

Mods, please move this if you feel I've posted in the wrong forum.
Reply With Quote
 

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 05:14 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2021, vBulletin Solutions Inc.