#21
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Re: Strange Top Two Fold
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[ QUOTE ] Actually the more I think about it I like call turn and LEAD river. Thoughts? [/ QUOTE ] You calling a river shove? Might as well shove turn then. [/ QUOTE ] Well, call turn and lead river can get paid off by some hands that would have folded to turn re-raise, because our line looks weirder. |
#22
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Re: Strange Top Two Fold
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SABR42 - The trouble I see is that with 60 in the pot and 70 behind on the river, is there really room for a bet/fold? [/ QUOTE ] I would be bet-calling, although not feeling great if he shoves over a river lead. |
#23
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Re: Strange Top Two Fold
Basically what I was thinking at the time was the four hands it makes a lot of sense for him to be limping are JT, T9, 98, and 77 really not much else (of course we are not sure about this). HOWEVER his postflop line makes the most sense for his made hands here, some random 100nl player is MUCH more likely to play trappy with 98 or 77 type hands given my standard stereotype of 100nl players playing too trappy then for him to call T9 then later decide to turn it into a bluff. T7 is a bit of a stretch based on preflop but possible. AA and AJ possible but less likely because of preflop. KQ seems unlikely that a 100nl player would decide to wait to bluff till the turn, very unlikely IMO. Plus we have some pretty nasty reverse implied odds.
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