|
|
#22
11-17-2007, 12:04 PM
|
|||
|
|||
Re: unreal degen gambling at stars 25/50 NL
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Let's say you flip a coin two times. Both times the outcome is "A". Now, if you flip the coin again the chance of outcome "B", is much higher, around 66%. This is true, i asked Jennifer Tilly and she confirmed. [/ QUOTE ] You are joking right? It doesn't matter what the previous outcomes are, each time you flip a coin the chance of outcome "A" or "B" is 50/50 EVERY time. [/ QUOTE ] It's true. We always go to Jennifer Tilly or Brandi for our statistical validations. 
|
|
#23
11-17-2007, 06:38 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: unreal degen gambling at stars 25/50 NL
guys if i flip 1 millions times, wouldn't I be closer to the expected result of 0EV? Isn't it the same as "low sample size" .
Obv after 1 flip your either -1 or +1, but everyone always says more sample = more accuaret result. Thats all I was getting at.
|
|
#24
11-17-2007, 08:09 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: unreal degen gambling at stars 25/50 NL
[ QUOTE ]
guys if i flip 1 millions times, wouldn't I be closer to the expected result of 0EV? Isn't it the same as "low sample size" . Obv after 1 flip your either -1 or +1, but everyone always says more sample = more accuaret result. Thats all I was getting at. [/ QUOTE ] More accurate % wise. It converges on 0, which is different than saying it's more likely to equal 0. Say you're down 100 flips after 2,000,000 tries. So you have 999,900 wins and 1,000,100 losses. That's like .001% off =EV, but it's a difference of half a million $$.
|
|
#25
11-17-2007, 08:23 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: unreal degen gambling at stars 25/50 NL
your ev does not converge with more flips. standard deviation gets bigger every time. it will get less bigger every time though .
|
|
#26
11-17-2007, 09:07 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: unreal degen gambling at stars 25/50 NL
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Let's say you flip a coin two times. Both times the outcome is "A". Now, if you flip the coin again the chance of outcome "B", is much higher, around 66%. This is true, i asked Jennifer Tilly and she confirmed. [/ QUOTE ] You are joking right? It doesn't matter what the previous outcomes are, each time you flip a coin the chance of outcome "A" or "B" is 50/50 EVERY time. [/ QUOTE ] he mentions confirming it with jennifer tilly and you still get levelled? ouch.
|
|
#27
11-17-2007, 11:33 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: unreal degen gambling at stars 25/50 NL
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] Let's say you flip a coin two times. Both times the outcome is "A". Now, if you flip the coin again the chance of outcome "B", is much higher, around 66%. This is true, i asked Jennifer Tilly and she confirmed. [/ QUOTE ] You are joking right? It doesn't matter what the previous outcomes are, each time you flip a coin the chance of outcome "A" or "B" is 50/50 EVERY time. [/ QUOTE ] he mentions confirming it with jennifer tilly and you still get levelled? ouch. [/ QUOTE ]
|
|
#28
11-17-2007, 11:56 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: unreal degen gambling at stars 25/50 NL
[ QUOTE ]
guys if i flip 1 millions times, wouldn't I be closer to the expected result of 0EV? Isn't it the same as "low sample size" . Obv after 1 flip your either -1 or +1, but everyone always says more sample = more accuaret result. Thats all I was getting at. [/ QUOTE ] You american have serious leaks in your educational system.
|
|
#29
11-17-2007, 11:57 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: unreal degen gambling at stars 25/50 NL
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] Let's say you flip a coin two times. Both times the outcome is "A". Now, if you flip the coin again the chance of outcome "B", is much higher, around 66%. This is true, i asked Jennifer Tilly and she confirmed. [/ QUOTE ] You are joking right? It doesn't matter what the previous outcomes are, each time you flip a coin the chance of outcome "A" or "B" is 50/50 EVERY time. [/ QUOTE ] he mentions confirming it with jennifer tilly and you still get levelled? ouch. [/ QUOTE ] [/ QUOTE ]
|
 |
|
|
Linear Mode
