feedback for decision of $1000+$60 on FTP tonite.

TheActionKid · #1 04-24-2007, 02:22 AM

first a little background, this guy pech is a little nuts, he's been 3 betting a lot and there are 10 left in the tourny. it folds to me in the sb with Ace 7 off and i make it 6400 to go(1200-2400 blinds) and he makes it 19200 to go (i expected a 3 bet as soon as i opened) i insta shove for 82k (total) and he has me covered by like 3k, we are in 2nd and 3rd place respectively. he had also seen me get 3 bet by another guy a few hands before and shove all in, but he had also seen me fold to several.

What do you guys think +EV -EV?

-TheActionKid

mastr · #2 04-24-2007, 02:23 AM

+

Sherman · #3 04-24-2007, 02:30 AM

+cEV. Not sure about $EV as we would need to know more about payout structure and all other chipstacks remaining.

TheActionKid · #4 04-24-2007, 02:41 AM

1st place was $57,000, 10th was $3000, and 6th was $11,000. 5th was 16k and 4th was 20k i believe

FreakDaddy · #5 04-24-2007, 02:45 AM

Ok - first, I wouldn't say he was 'crazy', but he was 3-betting a lot. Second, you got caught pushing with Q4 not long ago, and you'd been quite active recently. Lastly, he knows that YOU know he's been 3-betting, and I highly doubt he's coming back over the top of you, with your respective stack sizes, without less than a premium hand. And anything he is 3-betting you with, I think he's calling this spot (but this is read dynamic dependent). If this is the case though, then there's really almost 0 FE. 4th, he had you covered by about 30k+.

I think it's a -EV spot, but I'd be interested to hear what others say. The dynamic of this hand isn't easy to really completely convey in my opinion.