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  #11  
Old 10-26-2007, 11:24 PM
rsigley rsigley is offline
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Default Re: Survivor China

he gets voted off next show
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  #12  
Old 10-27-2007, 08:11 PM
stereoman stereoman is offline
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Default Re: Survivor China

Hmmm. Over at Bodog, the prop for will a male/female win the show is still up. The odds are 'Male +150, Female -200'.

No value here unless Todd really is the chosen one.
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  #13  
Old 10-30-2007, 05:09 AM
stereoman stereoman is offline
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Default Re: Survivor China

Now although they are far from being my favourite sportsbook I'd probably consider them one of the sharpest in terms of how they set the odds and take action on 'entertainment betting', Bodog now have the line as 'Male +170, Female -250'.

Seems a little strange when Todd's been primped as the one most likeliest to win.
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  #14  
Old 11-04-2007, 05:23 AM
llabb llabb is offline
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Default Re: Survivor China

Bodog sharp? They are horrible. They simply use ridiculous juice and ultra-low limits to not get raped.

I haven't researched Survivor, so won't comment on actual most likely to win, but Bodog's odds appear set right along the lines of the spoilers. If 2 females and 1 male all equally likely to win, then the line would be -200 female and +200 male. Bodog then takes absurd juice, and you end up with the resulting -250 female and +170 male.
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  #15  
Old 11-04-2007, 07:54 AM
stereoman stereoman is offline
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Default Re: Survivor China

[ QUOTE ]
...I'd probably consider them one of the sharpest in terms of how they set the odds and take action on 'entertainment betting'

[/ QUOTE ]

[ QUOTE ]
Bodog sharp? They are horrible. They simply use ridiculous juice and ultra-low limits to not get raped.

[/ QUOTE ]

I don't disagree. I think we've said the same thing but you were more direct and forthright with your opinion while I almost gave a politician's answer.
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  #16  
Old 11-05-2007, 02:14 AM
darko3131 darko3131 is offline
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Default Re: Survivor China

I've got $700 coming to me from this season guarenteed so I'm not going to touch the male/female winner bet but I'll give my opinion or lack-there-of actually, if it helps anyone.

The final 3 is spoiled as Todd, Amanda, and Courtney. Right away just dismiss Courtney, she is the Cassandra of this season who just gets drug along and will be lucky to get even 1 vote. So basically its 1 on 1 Todd vs. Amanda. At those odds you'd think male is the way to bet, but if it was even money I'd actually go with Amanda. Todd is going to backstab almost everyone and that might make them give the title to Amanda. Also a big fish in the survivor spoiler world has reported that Amanda wins, I'm not sure I'd trust him 100% because I thought the votes are sealed until the live finale but I wouldn't be against Amanda at this point.
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  #17  
Old 11-05-2007, 04:56 AM
domer2 domer2 is offline
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Default Re: Survivor China

[ QUOTE ]
I've got $700 coming to me from this season guarenteed

[/ QUOTE ]

hate to be the one to break this to you but all bets may be no actioned
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  #18  
Old 11-05-2007, 04:44 PM
darko3131 darko3131 is offline
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Default Re: Survivor China

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I've got $700 coming to me from this season guarenteed

[/ QUOTE ]

hate to be the one to break this to you but all bets may be no actioned

[/ QUOTE ]

I sure hope not. I'll fight it for sure because I got my bet in when Amanda and Todd still had 15/1 odds which was days, maybe even a full week before the public started hammering them.
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  #19  
Old 11-27-2007, 03:24 PM
stereoman stereoman is offline
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Default Re: Survivor China

Odds for male/female over at Bodog now both at -120.
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  #20  
Old 11-27-2007, 04:52 PM
rsigley rsigley is offline
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Default Re: Survivor China

[ QUOTE ]
Odds for male/female over at Bodog now both at -120.

[/ QUOTE ]

i find that odd

if the spoilers are true, you can really rule out courtney and it would come down to amanda/todd

todd has a couple enemies on the jury already and I think he'd make more to ge to the final three, so amanda should win

but the female line went from -200 to -120
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