BSP play of the week

NajdorfDefense · #1 11-16-2007, 10:40 PM

ATL +3

They've won 2 in a row, they are playing a mediocre Tampa team with Earnest Graham, 6-3 ats, and they are at home. But that's not why they are the pick.

Everyone I've asked about this game is on TB, 100%. Line hasn't budged off 3 either. Not yet.

Wait to see if you can get +3.5 obvs, but ATL is without a doubt the BSP pick of the week. Feels a lot like the earlier ATL pick that won [NO?].

11-4-1 NFL YTD ats.

CrushinFelt · #2 11-16-2007, 10:54 PM

I'd have probably voted for GB

kyro · #3 11-16-2007, 10:57 PM

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I'd have probably voted for GB

[/ QUOTE ]

More people are taking the Bucs than GB according to wagerline, and if I'm going against the BSPs, I'd rather take a home dog than an away dog.

MicroBob · #4 11-17-2007, 12:55 AM

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Wait to see if you can get +3.5 obvs,

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Seems like a possibility as it's now up to +3, +105.
I took a little now and might add on if it really does get to 3.5.

NajdorfDefense · #5 11-17-2007, 01:40 AM

[ QUOTE ]
I'd have probably voted for GB

[/ QUOTE ]

This isn't a democracy. It's a BSP and bet the other way ocracy.

Also, even retail bettors know to sometimes take the 10 at home v an overrated GB team. Whereas 3 v Atlanta is a steal zomg LDO. Half the guys I polled were on CAR, i guess it's the one big dog they liked [not Miami, buff, or Was obvs]

Was was the second pick as almost everyone ws on dal. But the only official pick so far is Atl.

CrushinFelt · #6 11-17-2007, 02:45 AM

I love multi word ocracies

alwardc4 · #7 11-17-2007, 11:57 AM

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]

Wait to see if you can get +3.5 obvs,

[/ QUOTE ]

Seems like a possibility as it's now up to +3, +105.
I took a little now and might add on if it really does get to 3.5.

[/ QUOTE ]

Yeah I jumped on it at +3 +105 as well. I would have waited but I was afraid bobby would be on Atl and cost me a chance at a better line. The spread trends he uses shows Atl as a good home dog momentum trend. Fortunately, he just leaning a little bit with Atl and didn't make them a best bet. Maybe it will get to 3.5

Thanks a6 sicilian for this up again the last couple weeks.

iggymcfly · #8 11-18-2007, 05:02 AM

I like that Falcons pick. I'm on at +3(+110) for 2.5 units. Also will probably get on the Bills close to kickoff as Bodog's shading the hell out of the line and I imagine the Pats are still getting a lot of square action with their 8-1 record ATS.

CardSharpCook · #9 11-18-2007, 08:42 AM

+170 1u

NhlNut · #10 11-18-2007, 11:08 AM

+3.5 -110 at 5dimes