Abiogenesis

[TomCowley]

[ QUOTE ]
We have some very powerful tools which are now focused on this issue. I would venture a guess that whatever the odds are against random abiogenesis, our focus improves our chances maybe 20 to 40 orders of magnitude. Is that enough? If abiogenesis is the nearly unique longshot I suspect it to be then it will never be enough.

[/ QUOTE ]

You're pulling numbers from way up your ass. Make remotely defensible starting assumptions, assign necessary probabilities to within 2 orders of magnitude, and show how scientific experiments done since, oh, 1950, produce a number in that range. Good luck. You may begin.

Edit: despite the reply name, the challenge is to OP, obviously.