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#11
10-22-2007, 07:29 PM
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Re: 3/6 - I want to call with 3rd pair (smallish pot)
Given that our hand looks a lot like 99-QQ going for pot control, his range here is basically trips or better here always if he's betting for value given his bet sizing. Also, I don't necessarily think our hand = A high here since he can probably be bluffing with 22-55 some of the time, but I do think our hand=AA here. I'll even say that our hand=KT here against this particular opponent. The only way that wouldn't be true is if he likes to flat TT/JJ preflop here sometimes, which is very unlikely here I would think.
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#12
10-22-2007, 07:33 PM
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Re: 3/6 - I want to call with 3rd pair (smallish pot)
[ QUOTE ]
Given that our hand looks a lot like 99-QQ going for pot control, his range here is basically trips or better here always if he's betting for value given his bet sizing. Also, I don't necessarily think our hand = A high here since he can probably be bluffing with 22-55 some of the time, but I do think our hand=AA here. I'll even say that our hand=KT here against this particular opponent. The only way that wouldn't be true is if he likes to flat TT/JJ preflop here sometimes, which is very unlikely here I would think. [/ QUOTE ] Our hand doesn't =KT because us having KT makes him way less likey to have a K.
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#13
10-22-2007, 07:37 PM
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Re: 3/6 - I want to call with 3rd pair (smallish pot)
I don't think our hand looks at all like 99-QQ. Most people bet the flop with > 2nd pair. I think he puts us on about what we have (or worse, but probably not better).
I mean, against someone who thinks I'm a really aggro bluff all the time player, I'm betting 99 or A8 like this all the time. I would fold the Q7 here, and I think I would fold QQ as well here, but I think it's def. a lot closer with QQ. However, this line coupled with the river card makes me think he's hardly ever bluffing here. That's just me though, and I have absolutely no idea how kitty plays.
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#14
10-22-2007, 07:40 PM
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Re: 3/6 - I want to call with 3rd pair (smallish pot)
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Given that our hand looks a lot like 99-QQ going for pot control, his range here is basically trips or better here always if he's betting for value given his bet sizing. Also, I don't necessarily think our hand = A high here since he can probably be bluffing with 22-55 some of the time, but I do think our hand=AA here. I'll even say that our hand=KT here against this particular opponent. The only way that wouldn't be true is if he likes to flat TT/JJ preflop here sometimes, which is very unlikely here I would think. [/ QUOTE ] Our hand doesn't =KT because us having KT makes him way less likey to have a K. [/ QUOTE ] I don't think that's relevant.
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