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  #11  
Old 08-08-2007, 11:15 PM
Aaron W. Aaron W. is offline
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Default Re: 1/2 - KK, ace on board.

[ QUOTE ]
Flop: 10.5:1 is a big pot, but villain showed aggression preflop, and is now betting into a pf 3-bettor and another player. If he's bluffing he's picked a really bad spot. You have two somewhat dirty K outs and a BDFD -- worth a total of about 3 outs total if you are behind, not enough to call.

[/ QUOTE ]

Why are the K outs "somewhat dirty"?
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  #12  
Old 08-08-2007, 11:18 PM
CrMenace CrMenace is offline
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Default Re: 1/2 - KK, ace on board.

[ QUOTE ]
Why are the K outs "somewhat dirty"?

[/ QUOTE ]

Becaused I messed up and thought the flop hand the Q and the turn the 9; thus GSSD potential.
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  #13  
Old 08-08-2007, 11:19 PM
CrMenace CrMenace is offline
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Default Re: 1/2 - KK, ace on board.

[ QUOTE ]
I think you can fold after getting popped on the flop. Only reason to call down is to suspect you're bluffed. But then you won't fold the river.

[/ QUOTE ]

Once popped on the flop you're getting 15.5:1 -- I think this is odds enough to see the turn.
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  #14  
Old 08-08-2007, 11:47 PM
OziBattler OziBattler is offline
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Default Re: 1/2 - KK, ace on board.

[ QUOTE ]
Why do you fold the river? Were you hoping to hit your two-outer?

[/ QUOTE ]

he called the turn because he turned a nutflush draw
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  #15  
Old 08-08-2007, 11:54 PM
KitCloudkicker KitCloudkicker is offline
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Default Re: 1/2 - KK, ace on board.

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Flop: 10.5:1 is a big pot, but villain showed aggression preflop, and is now betting into a pf 3-bettor and another player. If he's bluffing he's picked a really bad spot. You have two somewhat dirty K outs and a BDFD -- worth a total of about 3 outs total if you are behind, not enough to call.

[/ QUOTE ]

Why are the K outs "somewhat dirty"?

[/ QUOTE ]

cuz villain has AA and forgot to cap LDO

btw: OP, i wouldnt raise the flop.
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  #16  
Old 08-08-2007, 11:55 PM
Guitierez Guitierez is offline
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Default Re: 1/2 - KK, ace on board.

[ QUOTE ]


Once popped on the flop you're getting 15.5:1 -- I think this is odds enough to see the turn.


[/ QUOTE ]

I'm really not sure about that. Implied odds are not much higher because there's only one opponent left. You have 3 outs to improve, maybe a little more because the BDFD is to teh nutz. So this second call is really thin. Don't forget hero created the odds by raising, before it was 10.5:1. Once you hit the Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] the things change dramatically to your favor. But still, I fold to the 3bet.
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  #17  
Old 08-09-2007, 12:05 AM
Montrealcorp Montrealcorp is offline
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Default Re: 1/2 - KK, ace on board.

is a semi bluff need to be absolutely correct in the odds to be correct or it might be right even if its off by 1 bet for the call on the 3bet flop???
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  #18  
Old 08-09-2007, 12:06 AM
CrMenace CrMenace is offline
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Default Re: 1/2 - KK, ace on board.

[ QUOTE ]
I'm really not sure about that. Implied odds are not much higher because there's only one opponent left. You have 3 outs to improve, maybe a little more because the BDFD is to teh nutz. So this second call is really thin. Don't forget hero created the odds by raising, before it was 10.5:1. Once you hit the Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] the things change dramatically to your favor. But still, I fold to the 3bet.

[/ QUOTE ]

I'm not relying on implied odds. Once the flop is 3-bet, you have odds to call, even if you are only counting 3 outs. It does not matter that you made a mistake to get to this point -- it is now a straight value bet.
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  #19  
Old 08-09-2007, 12:31 AM
Guitierez Guitierez is offline
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Default Re: 1/2 - KK, ace on board.

You admit that he didn't have the odds to call the first bet with a 3-outer. Then he raised and gets 3banged. Now he suddenly calls correctly?

Altogether hero paid 3 SB to get his 3-out ticket for the turn in a 15.5 SB pot. This is a 5.17:1 call, very unprofitable.
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  #20  
Old 08-09-2007, 12:36 AM
Shillx Shillx is offline
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Default Re: 1/2 - KK, ace on board.

Fold the flop. Save micros
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