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  #1  
Old 11-30-2007, 05:08 AM
ship_it_trebek ship_it_trebek is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2007
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Default Re: Folded AK to raise PF (Standard??)

[ QUOTE ]
In short, 100 hands is MUCH too small a samplesize to even consider doing anything as ridiculous as this.

[/ QUOTE ]
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  #2  
Old 11-30-2007, 05:42 AM
sobos sobos is offline
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Default Re: Folded AK to raise PF (Standard??)

Does anyone know what his range is? What are the top 2% of hands? I don't feel like working this out, but my guess is that it is limited to AAKKQQAK, and maybe JJ. AK has poor equity against this range, so calling is pretty bad. Since he plays 40% of his hands, he's a calling station so you have very little fold equity against JJQQAK. Folding might be best. The fact that you only have a 100 hand sample does not justify dismissing the data; he might actually even be tighter than this!

Oh, and if you think I'm a nit by saying this, you're wrong. I run 19/13. This is simply an exercise in math. Unless his range includes TT and AQ, then I don't see a problem with a fold.
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  #3  
Old 11-30-2007, 05:46 AM
bottomset bottomset is offline
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Default Re: Folded AK to raise PF (Standard??)

2% is pretty close to QQ+ AKs

then again its pretty easy to go 500 hands without getting a single one of them
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  #4  
Old 11-30-2007, 05:50 AM
JSampras1 JSampras1 is offline
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Default Re: Folded AK to raise PF (Standard??)

I think you should at least call this. What is his AF? If he has QQ and whiffs is he going to check/fold? Maybe u at least get a c-bet from him out of it.

If he's super aggro and will get a bunch of bets in with QQ on an A high flop, then it's a call because you get paid off when u hit.

I guess if he's super tight postflop and just check/folds if u hit you won't make money. If he's a really good player maybe you won't make money.

But he's 40/2. He's obviously not good. You're telling me there's no way u can extract any value postflop against this guy? That's all i'm wondering
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