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#524
11-09-2006, 09:19 PM
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Re: The Malloreon: GAME THREAD and FINAL ROLE DESCRIPTIONS
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Ppl are voting books now because bobo claims to have peeked him? wtf? [/ QUOTE ] some may be evils that believe him since books is evil? [/ QUOTE ] oh is that why you're voting him? Thx for clearing that up! 
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#526
11-09-2006, 09:20 PM
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Re: The Malloreon: GAME THREAD and FINAL ROLE DESCRIPTIONS
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] BTW, everyone note Zero is calling me a 'retard' and now a wolf. That's because she likely 'knows' I am not evil because she is evil. [/ QUOTE ] I didnt call you a retard, I called you a [censored] retard. [/ QUOTE ] 9.5
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#527
11-09-2006, 09:21 PM
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Re: The Malloreon: GAME THREAD and FINAL ROLE DESCRIPTIONS
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] Ppl are voting books now because bobo claims to have peeked him? wtf? [/ QUOTE ] some may be evils that believe him since books is evil? [/ QUOTE ] oh is that why you're voting him? Thx for clearing that up! [/ QUOTE ] Like I said I like books more than any other wagon out there.
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#528
11-09-2006, 09:21 PM
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Re: The Malloreon: GAME THREAD and FINAL ROLE DESCRIPTIONS
All,
I estimate the probability of BobO telling the truth to be 53%.
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#529
11-09-2006, 09:24 PM
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Re: The Malloreon: GAME THREAD and FINAL ROLE DESCRIPTIONS
I'd estimate everytime I claim seer I actually am 33% of the time.
50% of the time I'm a Villager 27% of the time I'm a wolf. So. There is a 33% chance I am telling the truth. 50% Chance I am faking as a Villager and strongly believe WdCBooks is a Wolf, in which case that means in this scenario WBooks is evil AT LEAST 30/50 times. If I'm faking as a wolf, there is a 50% chance I'm naming WDCBooks as an evil when he ACTUALLY is one as a metagame strategy. So even if I am evil, Books is still evil 13.5/27 times I fake as a wolf. Tabulating all of this. There is a 76.5% chance WDCBooks is evil. There is a 27% chance I am evil 33% Chance I am Seer
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