deep in 530 on ftp hand

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Full Tilt Poker Game #4222985792: FTOPS Main Event (30641981), Table 283 - 500/1000 Ante 125 - No Limit Hold'em - 22:41:03 ET - 2007/11/18
Seat 1: mozy (21,065)
Seat 2: robinpoulsen (33,172)
Seat 3: Philosoph (45,429)
Seat 4: defibril8r (31,020)
Seat 5: fkscreennames (56,958)
Seat 6: ojzknife (19,895)
Seat 7: Tsu_NilPferD (66,391)
Seat 8: Duk of Death (20,510)
Seat 9: tnhooper45 (36,460)
mozy antes 125
robinpoulsen antes 125
Philosoph antes 125
defibril8r antes 125
fkscreennames antes 125
ojzknife antes 125
Tsu_NilPferD antes 125
Duk of Death antes 125
tnhooper45 antes 125
tnhooper45 posts the small blind of 500
mozy posts the big blind of 1,000
The button is in seat #8
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to fkscreennames [Jd Js]
robinpoulsen folds
Philosoph folds
defibril8r folds
fkscreennames raises to 2,533
ojzknife folds
Tsu_NilPferD has 15 seconds left to act
Tsu_NilPferD raises to 7,500
Duk of Death folds
tnhooper45 folds
mozy folds
fkscreennames has 15 seconds left to act
fkscreennames has requested TIME
fkscreennames calls 4,967
*** FLOP *** [Qs 2s 6c]
fkscreennames checks
Tsu_NilPferD checks
*** TURN *** [Qs 2s 6c] [9c]
fkscreennames checks
Tsu_NilPferD has 15 seconds left to act
Tsu_NilPferD bets 8,000
fkscreennames calls 8,000
*** RIVER *** [Qs 2s 6c 9c] [Kd]
fkscreennames checks
Tsu_NilPferD bets 15,000
fkscreennames has 15 seconds left to act
fkscreennames has requested TIME
fkscreennames: qqq?
fkscreennames: makes most sense
fkscreennames calls 15,000

no reads on villian. my reasoning was if he has AK why would he check flop then bet turn line didnt make that much sense although i cant fully discount it here.also the king on the river is such a great card for him to bluff.only real hands i could expect him to have is qq,66,99.also i dont see how he can slowplay AA,KK on flop betting so small with it would be weird to. im getting over 3 to 1 on the river u call here?

[zizazziza]

i think he has a K here at least way too often to make this call. There is one hand u beat that r/r pf, TT

[J.A.K.]

snapcall pre, lead flop...if he raises fold, if he calls... b/f turn, if he calls turn, c/f river

[furfur]

I don't see how u make the river call here. What range are u giving him to reraise u preflop? I'm not even sure about the turn call here. He can easily check behind w/ aa,kk,qq, aq(less likely he'd reraise pre) to set u up on turn. He's not too worried about giving u a free card on that flop given its raggedy nature and ur preflop raise then call of reraise. He has AA, KK, QQ like always here with occasional smattering of AK.