wii selling for $400+ again on ebay

[TheSalche]

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most of u guys + devs + analysts woulda never dreamed wii would sell 18-20mil in it's first 13.5 months...


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where is this number coming from? by my count wii will sell roughly 17 mil after the holiday season (current + 1.8 mil)

my numbers from vgchartz.com

[Emmitt2222]

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most of u guys + devs + analysts woulda never dreamed wii would sell 18-20mil in it's first 13.5 months...


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where is this number coming from? by my count wii will sell roughly 17 mil after the holiday season (current + 1.8 mil)

my numbers from vgchartz.com

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I am a member there and based on most speculation 17 mil would be on the VERY low side. There is most likely at least some sort of stock and not just what they are currently producing. I am thinking that 18-19 mil is most likely. If they somehow managed to save a ton or didn't want to tell us how much they are producing they may even hit upwards of 20mil.

Around 2 weeks before Christmas, which is usually the high point in sales, the Wii will hit some pretty large extreme prices on eBay. Count on it. Reggie has already said that they will almost certainly not be able to meet demand this Christmas.

In the time from Japan launch, the PS2 sold about 9 mil in its first 13.5 months although it wasn't out in all 3 territories for awhile.

[john voight]

i remember 3 years ago or whenever it came out (in concept) i said "that looks like the most retarded idea ever".

[dibbs]

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i remember 3 years ago or whenever it came out (in concept) i said "that looks like the most retarded idea ever".

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I too thought "Oh God a modern version of the PowerGlove, Robby the Robot or whatever" back then.

It's good to see something different thrive in the industry.

[Nicholasp27]

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most of u guys + devs + analysts woulda never dreamed wii would sell 18-20mil in it's first 13.5 months...


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where is this number coming from? by my count wii will sell roughly 17 mil after the holiday season (current + 1.8 mil)

my numbers from vgchartz.com

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it all depends on the supply; obv every one shipped will sell

they are making 1.8mil/month since about august 1st, but they haven't been shipping 1.8mil/month since august...so there will likely be much more than 1.8mil available before xmas

[Nicholasp27]

what we know:

they made 7 million by 3/31/07 (sold 5.84 million of those; rest were in pipeline)
they were producing just over 1mil/month at that time
they were up to 1.5mil/month by june
they are currently at 1.8mil/month

let's assume:

they will sell out of 99% of what hits stores by 12/31/07
wiis made after 12/16 likely won't hit stores before 12/31/07


7 mil (06-03/07) + 2 mil (april/may) + 7.5 mil (june-oct) + 1.8 mil (november) + 1 mil (december) = 19.3 mil

that's right in the middle of the 18-20 mil range

they may have ramped up to 1.8 before november, as it was supposed to happen starting in august...but the only confirmation i can find is that they definitely are at 1.8mil in november


the fact that they may have been slightly ahead of the schedule above + the fact that they may be able to get some of the 12/16-12/23 wiis into the stores in asia before 12/31 + the fact that it'd be really good for them to be able to say they hit 20 mil by the end of the year (great for publicity, developer support, etc AND helps silence the critics saying they are purposefully undermanufacturing) = decent shot at them making 20mil, the top end of my range

market demand won't determine the final number, like it will with 360/ps3...supply will, so it's up to nintendo