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Old 05-29-2007, 03:14 PM
gumpzilla gumpzilla is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 7,911
Default fun probability question from an old Putnam

Saw this question yesterday, and I liked it quite a bit:

A basketball player sets out to shoot 100 free throws. He makes his first, and misses his second. From that point on, the probability that he makes free throw number N is equal to the percentage of his free throws that he's made already. So, on shot 3, he's 50/50 to hit. If he makes shot 3, then on shot 4 he will make his shot 2/3 of the time, etc.

After he's shot his 100 free throws, what is the probability that he made exactly 50?
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