114s - 77 on bubble facing push from DDBeast

fluorescenthippo · #1 02-01-2007, 07:08 PM

limper limps like 35%, not sure if DDBeast knows this. during the game i thought i had him covered but apparently i suck at math. i think i would have played differently if i knew that i didnt cover him

PokerStars Tournament, Big Blind is t400 with t25 antes (4 handed) Converter on pregopoker.com

CO (t3004)
Button (t5113)
SB (t2745)
Hero (t2638)

Preflop: Hero is in BB with 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
CO calls t400, <font color="gray">Button folds</font>, <font color="red">SB raises to t2720 (All-in)</font>, Hero ...

bigt439 · #2 02-01-2007, 07:12 PM

arg... probs fold.

fluorescenthippo · #3 02-01-2007, 07:15 PM

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arg... probs fold.

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what if you cover him? or have 88? [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

bigt439 · #4 02-01-2007, 07:17 PM

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
arg... probs fold.

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what if you cover him? or have 88? [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

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cover gets close... but hes probs pretty strong here... he has to expect to get looked up by the limper quite a bit... i dunno... maybe call but its very close... its probs still a fold because hes likely to have to go showdown and you get a chance to make monnnnies... whereas limper could def fold if you call and then youre probably like a flip against his range...

Shillx · #5 02-01-2007, 07:20 PM

Clear fold imo. Probably isn't +EV to call him straight up and then you have to add in the chance that UTG calls and increases your fold EV.

DDBeast · #6 02-01-2007, 08:03 PM

77 is probably in bad shape v. my range.

Paul B. · #7 02-01-2007, 08:13 PM

It's a call considering CO's wide limping range and DDBeast's wide "stealing" range and also based on the +EV/-EV situations in the next few hands.

When he gets away with this he gains a ton of "dormant equity" for lack of a better term, and you lose a lot of it. He'll have ~t3700 and you and CO will have t2200 and t2600 respectively. That is a great situation for DDBeast because he will be able to bully you around, especially considering the big stack is to his immediate right. But if you call and eliminate him, you gain a ton because then you'll be able to bully the other two.

Does that make sense? I hope it does.

ryanghall · #8 02-01-2007, 08:21 PM

Gotta fold.

Ryan

DDBeast · #9 02-01-2007, 08:24 PM

According to SNGwiz it's a clear fold.

sugarwaterpurple · #10 02-01-2007, 08:37 PM

I'm foldin, I don't like to gamble when I don't have to.