|
|
#1
09-04-2007, 02:54 PM
|
|||
|
|||
I got a big draw, but facing AI...Standard call? NL50
Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 5 players Converter Stack sizes: UTG: $49.70 CO: $60.55 Hero: $49.50 SB: $24.05 BB: $50.60 Pre-flop: (5 players) Hero is Button with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] UTG folds, <font color="#cc0000">CO raises to $1.75</font>, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $6</font>, 2 folds, CO calls. Flop: K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($12.75, 2 players) CO checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $10</font>, <font color="#cc0000">CO raises all-in $54.55</font>, <font color="#cc0000">Hero calls all-in $33.5</font>. Uncalled bets: $11.05 returned to CO. Turn: 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ($99.75, 0 player + 2 all-in - Main pot: $99.75) River: 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ($99.75, 0 player + 2 all-in - Main pot: $99.75) Results: Final pot: $99.75 Total unknown villain btw. 
|
|
#3
09-04-2007, 02:58 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: I got a big draw, but facing AI...Standard call? NL50
I don't think the draw is too big...you have 13 outs the way I see it, action on his part makes it seem like a naked A won't help.
I toss to the all in. the odds the pot is laying you to call is 44.55/66.55 or 66%, you are no where near a 66% fav here.
|
|
#4
09-04-2007, 02:59 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: I got a big draw, but facing AI...Standard call? NL50
instacall. Worst case you're up against a set and you still have 33% equity. What are you reasons for 3betting preflop ?
|
|
#5
09-04-2007, 03:02 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: I got a big draw, but facing AI...Standard call? NL50
[ QUOTE ]
I don't think the draw is too big...you have 13 outs the way I see it, action on his part makes it seem like a naked A won't help. I toss to the all in. the odds the pot is laying you to call is 44.55/66.55 or 66%, you are no where near a 66% fav here. [/ QUOTE ] you got your odds backwards...assuming 12 outs...maybe 11. he is a about 45% to win. he only needs 33% to call.
|
|
#7
09-04-2007, 03:06 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: I got a big draw, but facing AI...Standard call? NL50
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] I don't think the draw is too big...you have 13 outs the way I see it, action on his part makes it seem like a naked A won't help. I toss to the all in. the odds the pot is laying you to call is 44.55/66.55 or 66%, you are no where near a 66% fav here. [/ QUOTE ] you got your odds backwards...assuming 12 outs...maybe 11. he is a about 45% to win. he only needs 33% to call. [/ QUOTE ] I know that...and at the moment, he is calling off 44 dollars to win 66. he is calling off 66% of the pot when he is only a 45% at best.
|
|
#8
09-04-2007, 03:10 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: I got a big draw, but facing AI...Standard call? NL50
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] I don't think the draw is too big...you have 13 outs the way I see it, action on his part makes it seem like a naked A won't help. I toss to the all in. the odds the pot is laying you to call is 44.55/66.55 or 66%, you are no where near a 66% fav here. [/ QUOTE ] you got your odds backwards...assuming 12 outs...maybe 11. he is a about 45% to win. he only needs 33% to call. [/ QUOTE ] I know that...and at the moment, he is calling off 44 dollars to win 66. he is calling off 66% of the pot when he is only a 45% at best. [/ QUOTE ] lol..my math is a little off...but so is yours. I am too lazy to do it right but he is getting correct odds.
|
|
#9
09-04-2007, 03:13 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: I got a big draw, but facing AI...Standard call? NL50
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] I don't think the draw is too big...you have 13 outs the way I see it, action on his part makes it seem like a naked A won't help. I toss to the all in. the odds the pot is laying you to call is 44.55/66.55 or 66%, you are no where near a 66% fav here. [/ QUOTE ] you got your odds backwards...assuming 12 outs...maybe 11. he is a about 45% to win. he only needs 33% to call. [/ QUOTE ] I know that...and at the moment, he is calling off 44 dollars to win 66. he is calling off 66% of the pot when he is only a 45% at best. [/ QUOTE ] lol..my math is a little off...but so is yours. I am too lazy to do it right but he is getting correct odds. [/ QUOTE ] yes mine is a little off...but I don't think he is getting odds...ok, so at best I give him a 45% chance of winning the pot. Now I will do a bet by bet rundown of pot size. 6 each PF = 12 Hero bets 10 = 22 Villain raises to 54, pot is 76. to call he has to invest 44. 44/76 = 58% again, at best he is a 45% fav. he is not getting odds to call the all in...but whats 13% in the long run....meh.
|
 |
|
|
Linear Mode
